Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +9 (83-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jackson * | 31 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | -1.4 |
| F. Skobalj * | 31 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +2.3 |
| A. Henderson II * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | -4.2 |
| S. Ciani * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +1.7 |
| E. Pickett * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
| J. Mason | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -0.8 |
| T. Freeman | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -3.2 |
| M. Kancleris | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -2.4 |
| K. Jeffries | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.7 |
| J. Reaves | 8 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -4.6 |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Martinelli * | 34 | 10-14 | 2-2 | 5-10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 17 | +4.2 |
| T. Berry * | 29 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +10.6 |
| K.J. Windham * | 28 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +10.6 |
| J. Leach * | 27 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | -1.9 |
| M. Nicholson * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +8.8 |
| J. Mullins | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | +3.3 |
| L. Hunger | 20 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | -6.0 |
| A. Ciaravino | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -2.0 |
| B. Smith | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
* = starter