Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +36.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +41 (100-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. McMullen | 40 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 24 | -33.5 |
| T. Lane | 28 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | -33.3 |
| M. Brown | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | -22.7 |
| C. Edwards | 24 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | -19.3 |
| J. Hamilton | 23 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2 | -15.9 |
| Z. Nutter | 21 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | -4.4 |
| C. Peters | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -4.9 |
| D. Evans | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -2.6 |
| J. Jackson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -12.8 |
| M. Ferguson | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -16.3 |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Johnson | 30 | 12-14 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 23 | +31.7 |
| M. Kelly | 28 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +28.1 |
| T. Pettiford | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | +29.4 |
| C. Baker-Mazara | 25 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 11-11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | +21.1 |
| D. Jones | 22 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9.8 |
| Dy. Cardwell | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | +7.3 |
| J. Hudson | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +17.7 |
| J. Howard | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +10.1 |
| C. Moore | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +2.2 |
| JP Pegues | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +9.8 |
| J. Broome | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Muschalek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 |
| CJ Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 |
| P. Patterson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter