Auburn
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
78.7
PPG
64.0
Opp
+14.7
Margin
42.1%
FG%
38.3%
3P%
64.3%
FT%
42.3
RPG
13.0
APG
10.0
TO
67.9
Est. poss./game
73.8
Adj PPG
65.5
Adj Opp PPG
#54
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1247 (#58) | Preseason prior 1270 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1120, returning +26, transfers +120, freshmen +3 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1143 (#61) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1138 (#62) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +17.9 (#38) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +17.9 (#38) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.851 (#68) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.800 (#47) | AdjNet +19.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.805 (#48) | AdjNet +19.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.714 (#54) | AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 65.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.711 (#56) | AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 65.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.781 (#50) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.780 (#50) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1169 (#66) | RD 178 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.798 (#45) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | vs | SE Louisiana Lions | W | 92 - 59 |
| 2026-11-09 | vs | App State Mountaineers | W | 75 - 53 |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | Arizona Wildcats | L | 69 - 80 |
| 2026-11-17 | vs | West Virginia Mountaineers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tahaad Pettiford
|
G | 3 | 23.7 | 17.7 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 16.3 | 6.7 | -3 | 2 | -1.5 | -2.5 | 36.7 | 31.2 | 92.3 | 0.42 | 48.4 | 41.8 |
Thomas Dowd
|
F | 3 | 26.3 | 8.7 | 8.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 5.3 | 15.7 | 11 | 2 | 5.5 | 8.4 | 56.2 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0.66 | 75.1 | 75.0 |
Adam Olsen
|
F | 3 | 22.7 | 8.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 7.3 | 5.7 | 7 | 2 | 3.5 | 5.9 | 31.8 | 36.8 | 100.0 | 0.12 | 51.5 | 47.7 |
Kolby King
|
G | 3 | 16.0 | 7.7 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 9.3 | 6 | 2 | 3.0 | 7.4 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 80.0 | -0.02 | 79.9 | 75.0 |
George Kimble III
|
G | 3 | 16.0 | 7.7 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 13 | 2 | 6.5 | 16.5 | 38.9 | 16.7 | 72.7 | 0.43 | 50.4 | 41.7 |
Kevin Overton
|
G | 3 | 23.7 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 8.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 29.2 | 35.3 | 50.0 | 0.64 | 42.7 | 41.7 |
Owen Freeman
|
F | 3 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 8.7 | 7 | 2 | 3.5 | 10.2 | 77.8 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.11 | 73.5 | 83.3 |
Narcisse Ngoy
|
C | 3 | 17.3 | 5.7 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 4.7 | 11.7 | -13 | 2 | -6.5 | -15.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 33.3 | -1.01 | 47.3 | 50.0 |
Caleb Williams
|
G | 3 | 19.3 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3 | 2 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 33.3 | 28.6 | 0 | -0.08 | 38.9 | 38.9 |
Bukky Oboye
|
C | 3 | 20.0 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 8.0 | 22 | 2 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 75.0 | 0 | 20.0 | 0.42 | 63.7 | 75.0 |
Blake Muschalek
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Jeremiah Bowman
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Drake Cardwell
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Bradley Pearson
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Mantas Rubstavicius
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Joah Shay
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Simon Walker
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Auburn players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Auburn game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell | 2017-18 | NBA | Miami Heat | 12 | 36.0 | 16.9 | 2.2 | 9.2 | 11-13 22 pts, 5 reb, 17 ast | 12 GP, 16.9 PPG, 2.2 RPG, 9.2 APG |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 2021-22 | NBA | Houston Rockets | 13 | 34.4 | 15.9 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 11-13 6 pts, 3 reb, 0 ast | 13 GP, 15.9 PPG, 6.3 RPG, 2.0 APG |
| Walker Kessler | 2021-22 | NBA | Los Angeles Lakers | 13 | 30.8 | 14.5 | 10.8 | 1.8 | 11-11 10 pts, 11 reb, 3 ast | 13 GP, 14.5 PPG, 10.8 RPG, 1.8 APG |
| Isaac Okoro | 2019-20 | NBA | Chicago Bulls | 11 | 21.1 | 6.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 11-13 15 pts, 3 reb, 2 ast | 11 GP, 6.1 PPG, 1.5 RPG, 1.5 APG |
| Dylan Cardwell | 2020-25 | NBA | Sacramento Kings | 5 | 17.7 | 4.8 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 11-13 6 pts, 3 reb, 3 ast | 5 GP, 4.8 PPG, 6.2 RPG, 2.0 APG |
| Austin Wiley | 2016-20 | EuroLeague | FC Bayern Munich | 11 | 15.8 | 7.9 | 6.4 | 0.7 | 11-12 10 pts, 9 reb, 1 ast | 5 GP, 9.6 PPG, 7.2 RPG, 0.8 APG |
| Chuma Okeke | 2017-19 | EuroLeague | Real Madrid | 10 | 18.2 | 7.1 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 11-12 9 pts, 4 reb, 0 ast | 5 GP, 6.0 PPG, 4.2 RPG, 1.0 APG |
| Johni Broome | 2022-25 | G League | Wisconsin Herd | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-08 25 pts, 11 reb, 3 ast Play-In | 2 GP, 17.5 PPG, 11.5 RPG, 2.5 APG |
| Miles Kelly | 2024-25 | G League | Santa Cruz Warriors | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-13 19 pts, 6 reb, 5 ast Play-In | 2 GP, 16.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 3.0 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Miles Kelly | G League Play-In | Santa Cruz Warriors | vs San Diego Clippers | 33 | 19 | 6 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Jabari Smith Jr. | NBA | Houston Rockets | vs Utah Jazz | 24 | 6 | 3 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Isaac Okoro | NBA | Chicago Bulls | vs Atlanta Hawks | 41 | 15 | 3 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Dylan Cardwell | NBA | Sacramento Kings | vs Portland Trail Blazers | 13 | 6 | 3 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Davion Mitchell | NBA | Miami Heat | vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 39 | 22 | 5 | 17 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Chuma Okeke | EuroLeague | Real Madrid | vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | 17 | 9 | 4 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Austin Wiley | EuroLeague | FC Bayern Munich | @ Valencia Basket | 18 | 10 | 9 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Walker Kessler | NBA | Los Angeles Lakers | @ Milwaukee Bucks | 29 | 10 | 11 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Jabari Smith Jr. | NBA | Houston Rockets | vs Golden State Warriors | 35 | 14 | 8 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Isaac Okoro | NBA | Chicago Bulls | vs San Antonio Spurs | 23 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Dylan Cardwell | NBA | Sacramento Kings | vs Orlando Magic | 29 | 1 | 11 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Davion Mitchell | NBA | Miami Heat | @ Utah Jazz | 38 | 19 | 5 | 8 | Box |
| 2026-11-09 | Walker Kessler | NBA | Los Angeles Lakers | @ Atlanta Hawks | 30 | 21 | 10 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-09 | Jabari Smith Jr. | NBA | Houston Rockets | vs Denver Nuggets | 38 | 14 | 7 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Walker Kessler | NBA | Los Angeles Lakers | @ Detroit Pistons | 29 | 12 | 16 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Johni Broome | G League Play-In | Wisconsin Herd | @ Iowa Wolves | 32 | 25 | 11 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Isaac Okoro | NBA | Chicago Bulls | vs Philadelphia 76ers | 25 | 12 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Dylan Cardwell | NBA | Sacramento Kings | vs Miami Heat | 18 | 4 | 9 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Davion Mitchell | NBA | Miami Heat | @ Sacramento Kings | 40 | 17 | 3 | 11 | Box |
| 2026-11-07 | Miles Kelly | G League Play-In | Santa Cruz Warriors | @ Stockton Kings | 27 | 13 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Johni Broome | G League Play-In | Wisconsin Herd | @ Iowa Wolves | 20 | 10 | 12 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-05 | Austin Wiley | EuroLeague | FC Bayern Munich | @ LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | 24 | 22 | 9 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Chuma Okeke | EuroLeague | Real Madrid | vs Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens | 28 | 4 | 5 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-10-29 | Chuma Okeke | EuroLeague | Real Madrid | vs Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | 23 | 6 | 7 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-10-29 | Austin Wiley | EuroLeague | FC Bayern Munich | @ Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | 11 | 2 | 5 | 1 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
190 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Tahaad PettifordAdam OlsenKevin OvertonGeorge Kimble IIICaleb Williams
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 30-53 | 56.6 | 60 | Tahaad Pettiford 23% (14 pts) | Narcisse Ngoy 20% (12 pts) | Tahaad Pettiford 30% (7 misses) | Narcisse Ngoy 26% (6 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 16-33 | 48.5 | 32 | Tahaad Pettiford 31% (10 pts) | Owen Freeman 19% (6 pts) | Tahaad Pettiford 35% (6 misses) | Thomas Dowd 18% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-12 | 16.7 | 4 | George Kimble III 100% (4 pts) | - | Caleb Williams 40% (4 misses) | Tahaad Pettiford 20% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-4 | 25.0 | 2 | Tahaad Pettiford 100% (2 pts) | - | Tahaad Pettiford 67% (2 misses) | Adam Olsen 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 0-7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Tahaad Pettiford 43% (3 misses) | George Kimble III 29% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-9 | 33.3 | 9 | Kevin Overton 33% (3 pts) | Kolby King 33% (3 pts) | Adam Olsen 50% (3 misses) | Caleb Williams 17% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 4-6 | 66.7 | 12 | Adam Olsen 50% (6 pts) | Kolby King 25% (3 pts) | Kevin Overton 50% (1 misses) | Tahaad Pettiford 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 10-24 | 41.7 | 30 | Kevin Overton 30% (9 pts) | Thomas Dowd 20% (6 pts) | Kevin Overton 43% (6 misses) | Adam Olsen 21% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-17 | 23.5 | 12 | Adam Olsen 25% (3 pts) | Caleb Williams 25% (3 pts) | Tahaad Pettiford 38% (5 misses) | George Kimble III 15% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 10-25 | 40.0 | 30 | Adam Olsen 30% (9 pts) | Tahaad Pettiford 30% (9 pts) | Adam Olsen 33% (5 misses) | Tahaad Pettiford 20% (3 misses) |