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2025-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Ole Miss Rebels Spread Result
Elo 63.9% 36.1% -
Bradley-Terry 57.1% 42.9% -
Margin 78.2% 21.8% -7.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% -
Efficiency 52.5% 47.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.8% 16.2% -
Log Adjusted 84.2% 15.8% -
Points Off/Def 65.5% 34.5% -

Actual: Ole Miss Rebels -10 (82-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Jones 35 5-11 4-7 2-2 1 4 1 0 4 16 7 +11.1
J. Broome 32 7-14 2-2 4-7 12 4 0 2 3 20 21 +8.3
C. Baker-Mazara 30 6-10 4-6 2-3 2 3 1 0 2 18 12 +4.5
Dy. Cardwell 25 3-6 0-1 4-5 13 4 2 1 0 10 24 +10.3
T. Pettiford 24 3-7 1-3 2-2 1 5 1 0 3 9 6 +20.5
M. Kelly 23 4-8 3-6 4-4 1 1 1 0 0 15 10 +4.1
C. Johnson 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 3 +8.5
C. Moore 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.1
J. Hudson 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -4.4

Ole Miss Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Pedulla 35 10-16 3-6 6-8 5 2 3 0 2 29 21 -13.1
M. Dia 32 3-9 0-2 3-4 4 3 1 3 1 9 10 -15.9
M. Murrell 31 4-6 2-4 7-9 4 1 1 0 0 17 17 -9.3
J. Brakefield 30 5-10 1-1 1-4 5 1 1 0 4 12 5 -4.3
J. Murray 29 0-6 0-3 3-4 0 4 1 0 1 3 1 +8.8
D. Barnes 20 1-3 0-2 2-2 5 0 1 1 0 4 8 -13.1
D. Davis 15 2-4 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 5 4 +4.0
M. Brown-Jones 5 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 -0.2
E. Klafke 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.1

* = starter