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Ole Miss

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Ole Miss Rebels, Ole Miss
Program History
Coach: Chris Beard

2026 Team Stats (34 games)

76.1
PPG
76.4
Opp
-0.3
Margin
44.7%
FG%
33.8%
3P%
74.9%
FT%
34.1
RPG
13.7
APG
9.9
TO
78.9
Pace
78.5
AdjO
68.3
AdjD
#66
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1012 (#170) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1089 (#101) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 978 (#554) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +10.0 (#67) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +24.7 (#53) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.491 (#185) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -18.2 More → 0.128 (#300) NetEff -18.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.7 More → 0.829 (#66) AdjNet +13.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.0 More → 0.833 (#66) AdjNet +14.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.5 | AdjD 68.3 More → 0.716 (#66) AdjO 78.5 | AdjD 68.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 70.4 More → 0.636 (#82) AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 70.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.858 (#79) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.823 (#75) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 124 | GP 34 More → 1079 (#162) RD 124 | GP 34

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 88 - 58
2025-11-07 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 86 - 65
2025-11-11 vs Memphis Tigers W 83 - 77
2025-11-14 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 82 - 60
2025-11-18 vs Austin Peay Governors W 72 - 65
2025-11-25 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 69 - 74
2025-11-26 vs Utah Utes L 74 - 75
2025-12-02 vs Miami Hurricanes L 66 - 75
2025-12-06 @ St. John's Red Storm L 58 - 63
2025-12-13 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 71 - 67
2025-12-17 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 80 - 66
2025-12-21 @ NC State Wolfpack L 62 - 76
2025-12-29 vs Alcorn State Braves W 79 - 43
2026-01-03 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 70 - 86
2026-01-07 vs Arkansas Razorbacks L 87 - 94
2026-01-10 vs Missouri Tigers W 76 - 69
2026-01-14 @ Georgia Bulldogs W 97 - 95
2026-01-20 vs Auburn Tigers L 66 - 78
2026-01-24 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 63 - 72
2026-01-31 vs Vanderbilt Commodores L 68 - 71
2026-02-03 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 66 - 84
2026-02-07 @ Texas Longhorns L 68 - 79
2026-02-11 vs Alabama Crimson Tide L 74 - 93
2026-02-14 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs L 78 - 90
2026-02-18 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 77 - 80
2026-02-21 vs Florida Gators L 75 - 94
2026-02-25 vs LSU Tigers L 99 - 106
2026-02-28 @ Auburn Tigers W 85 - 79
2026-03-04 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 86 - 89
2026-03-07 vs South Carolina Gamecocks L 61 - 64
2026-03-11 @ Texas Longhorns W 76 - 66
2026-03-12 @ Georgia Bulldogs W 76 - 72
2026-03-13 @ Alabama Crimson Tide W 80 - 79
2026-03-14 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 90 - 93

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
AJ Storr AJ Storr G 34 26.2 15.5 3.1 2.0 0.9 0.1 1.5 12.3 7.8 6 0.3 0.5 45.1 35.7 78.6 0.02 55.0 49.9
M. Dia M. Dia F 34 24.2 14.7 5.6 0.8 0.6 0.8 1.6 11.9 9.0 27 1.1 2.3 45.6 27.8 67.9 0.55 52.5 48.3
Ilias Kamardine Ilias Kamardine - 34 31.1 11.1 3.4 3.7 1.4 0.4 1.9 9.9 8.2 41 2.0 2.8 42.1 30.1 76.1 0.7 51.5 48.2
Patton Pinkins Patton Pinkins - 34 24.9 9.4 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.3 6.6 5.9 69 3.3 6.6 47.5 43.4 85.5 0.82 62.4 57.2
K. Giffa K. Giffa - 27 15.9 6.1 1.3 1.4 0.6 0.1 1.0 3.3 5.2 30 1.4 3.8 44.3 39.0 82.4 0.4 65.4 53.4
T. Perry T. Perry G 34 16.6 5.3 1.7 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.5 4.8 3.8 138 6.6 10.6 34.6 35.6 88.0 1.07 52.3 49.1
E. Klafke E. Klafke G 33 15.1 4.6 2.5 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.5 3.1 5.3 10 0.5 2.0 48.5 42.6 75.6 0.06 62.4 58.3
J. Scott J. Scott - 34 17.9 3.9 4.6 0.6 0.5 1.4 0.6 2.4 7.9 156 7.1 17.8 72.3 0 50.0 1.6 70.5 72.3
C. Chest C. Chest - 33 12.9 2.6 3.8 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.5 1.9 5.7 72 3.4 9.3 58.1 100.0 48.1 0.82 58.2 58.9
A. Cassia A. Cassia F 30 10.2 2.1 1.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.8 2.7 81 3.7 15.6 43.4 25.0 77.8 1.12 52.5 47.2
K. Johnson K. Johnson - 24 9.9 1.9 0.8 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.5 2.5 1.9 46 2.9 14.0 27.1 20.0 72.7 -0.36 36.0 32.2
Hobert Grayson Iv Hobert Grayson Iv - 5 5.6 1.4 1.4 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 1.4 2.0 -9 -1.8 -12.9 42.9 0.0 50.0 -0.09 44.4 42.9
M. Smith M. Smith - 10 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0 0.4 -3 -0.6 -9.8 20.0 20.0 100.0 -0.05 42.5 30.0
Z. Day Z. Day - 20 7.6 0.9 1.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.6 1.4 -19 -1.6 -10.3 18.8 18.5 50.0 -0.36 27.4 26.6
Niko Bundalo Niko Bundalo - 11 3.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.5 -7 -1.0 -19.6 66.7 0 66.7 -0.15 69.4 66.7
Tylis Jordan Tylis Jordan F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG