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2024-11-07

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Liberty Flames Spread Result
ELO 62.6% 37.4% -
Bradley-Terry 78.8% 21.2% -
Margin 98.3% 1.7% -22.2 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% -
Efficiency 50.7% 49.3% -
KenPom Style 50.5% 49.5% -
Log Adjusted 50.4% 49.6% -
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% -

Actual: Liberty Flames -16 (67-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
A. Jackson 28 7-10 5-7 3-4 3 6 2 1 22 22
J. Donovan 26 3-9 - - 3 1 2 1 6 2
R. Richardson 24 5-10 1-4 2-2 1 2 13 2
T. Fournier 24 5-10 - 3-6 4 1 13 8
V. de Jesus 22 1-3 -1 - 6 3 4 2 2 10
T. Mair 21 3-4 2-2 - 3 4 2 2 8 11
O. Okananwa 17 -1 -1 5-10 6 3 2 1 5 5 11
J. Wood 16 4-6 - 2-3 4 1 10 7
D. Thomas 15 1-1 - 2-2 1 1 3 2 4 6
E. Koabel 6 -1 -1 - 1 -2
L. Battiston 1 - - - 0

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
E. Hess 29 5-9 1-5 - 4 1 1 3 11 5
J. Hodges 26 4-6 1-2 - 2 2 1 5 9 3
E. Aegisdottir 25 1-6 - - 10 2 2 6 2 4
A. Boone 25 4-10 1-6 6-8 1 1 1 2 15 6
B. Smuda 21 2-6 - 1-2 3 5 2
E. Howard 16 1-3 - - 4 1 2 2 2 4
A. Mills 15 2-3 2-2 2-2 1 8 4
P. Steenbergen 13 2-5 1-3 2-2 3 1 7 6
A. Badosa 11 1-1 - 1-1 1 3 1
B. Moore 11 2-5 -2 1-1 1 1 1 5 1
C. Shiery 3 - - - 0
C. Acin 3 - - - 1 1 1 1
E. Soldis 2 - - - 0

* = starter