Liberty
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1189 (#81) | Preseason prior 1170 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1057, returning +64, transfers +50, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1121 (#81) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1119 (#81) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +10.5 (#94) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +10.4 (#94) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.737 (#105) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.683 (#101) | AdjNet +7.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.704 (#95) | AdjNet +8.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.695 (#77) | AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 55.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.692 (#77) | AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 55.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.709 (#83) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.708 (#83) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1118 (#87) | RD 192 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.729 (#85) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Frostburg State Bobcats | W | 73 - 30 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ | East Carolina Pirates | W | 82 - 49 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | NC State Wolfpack | L | 47 - 71 |
| 2026-11-17 | @ | North Carolina A&T Aggies | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-19 | @ | Elon Phoenix | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sophia Gregory
|
F | 3 | 25.3 | 11.3 | 8.0 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 6.7 | 17.0 | 35 | 3 | 11.7 | 19.3 | 65.0 | 20.0 | 87.5 | 4.65 | 72.3 | 67.5 |
Emmy Stout
|
C | 3 | 23.3 | 10.3 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 8.0 | 6.7 | 34 | 3 | 11.3 | 20.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 58.3 | 3.04 | 52.9 | 50.0 |
Ify Nwaobi
|
F | 3 | 22.0 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 9.3 | 11.0 | 24 | 3 | 8.0 | 15.5 | 39.3 | 40.0 | 60.0 | 1.99 | 48.0 | 46.4 |
JaKayla Thompson
|
G | 3 | 20.0 | 8.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 23 | 3 | 7.7 | 16.5 | 42.9 | 25.0 | 87.5 | 3.32 | 53.0 | 45.2 |
Trinity Holsinger
|
G | 3 | 11.3 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 19 | 3 | 6.3 | 21.8 | 43.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.36 | 62.2 | 62.5 |
Claudia Acin
|
G | 3 | 14.7 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.7 | 6.0 | 9 | 3 | 3.0 | 8.2 | 35.7 | 37.5 | 100.0 | -1.31 | 50.4 | 46.4 |
Lynn Peters
|
C | 3 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 19 | 3 | 6.3 | 15.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.01 | 79.8 | 100.0 |
Emma Leon
|
G | 3 | 15.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 12 | 3 | 4.0 | 11.3 | 45.5 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.49 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Amari Worsham
|
G | 2 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 2 | 1.5 | 14.2 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -1.94 | 90.2 | 83.3 |
Layla Scott
|
G | 3 | 11.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.3 | -0.3 | 13 | 3 | 4.3 | 15.8 | 23.1 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.43 | 26.0 | 23.1 |
Elisabeth Aegisdottir
|
F | 3 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 33 | 3 | 11.0 | 18.5 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.67 | 27.3 | 27.3 |
Kendyl Smith
|
G | 3 | 8.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 31 | 3 | 10.3 | 49.9 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.7 | 19.0 | 14.3 |
Peace Ashina
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Maleah Alexander
|
G | 3 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 10 | 3 | 3.3 | 37.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.64 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Zeynep Avci
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
156 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Sophia GregoryEmmy StoutIfy NwaobiTrinity HolsingerJaKayla ThompsonClaudia AcinEmma LeonElisabeth AegisdottirLayla ScottAmari Worsham
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 35-51 | 68.6 | 70 | Sophia Gregory 29% (20 pts) | Emmy Stout 20% (14 pts) | Emmy Stout 19% (3 misses) | Ify Nwaobi 19% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 14-36 | 38.9 | 28 | Emmy Stout 29% (8 pts) | Ify Nwaobi 21% (6 pts) | Emmy Stout 27% (6 misses) | Ify Nwaobi 23% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-7 | 28.6 | 4 | Emma Leon 50% (2 pts) | JaKayla Thompson 50% (2 pts) | JaKayla Thompson 60% (3 misses) | Ify Nwaobi 20% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-2 | 100.0 | 4 | JaKayla Thompson 100% (4 pts) | - | - | - |
| Mid-range right | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Emmy Stout 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Left corner 3 | 1-5 | 20.0 | 3 | Ify Nwaobi 100% (3 pts) | - | Amari Worsham 25% (1 misses) | Elisabeth Aegisdottir 25% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Elisabeth Aegisdottir 33% (1 misses) | JaKayla Thompson 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 6-24 | 25.0 | 18 | Claudia Acin 33% (6 pts) | Amari Worsham 17% (3 pts) | Trinity Holsinger 22% (4 misses) | Claudia Acin 17% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-5 | 60.0 | 9 | Claudia Acin 33% (3 pts) | Ify Nwaobi 33% (3 pts) | Claudia Acin 50% (1 misses) | Kendyl Smith 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 6-22 | 27.3 | 18 | Trinity Holsinger 67% (12 pts) | Ify Nwaobi 17% (3 pts) | Layla Scott 25% (4 misses) | Elisabeth Aegisdottir 19% (3 misses) |