Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.0% | 5.0% | -16.1 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| KenPom Style | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.7% | 7.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -8 (48-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Turner | 35 | 3-13 | -3 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | |
| T. Sabel | 34 | 7-15 | 3-3 | - | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 7 | |
| M. Norris | 29 | 1-4 | -2 | 7-9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | |
| M. Harris | 29 | 1-3 | -1 | - | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | ||
| N. Epps | 20 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 |
| S. Burns | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | - | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | ||
| C. Gray | 14 | -2 | -1 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| A. Fitzgerald | 11 | - | - | - | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| V. Baker | 7 | -1 | - | - | 2 | 2 | -1 | ||||
| B. Shine | 6 | -1 | -1 | - | 1 | 0 | |||||
| C. Glad | 0 | - | - | - | 0 |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McNicholas | 34 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 7-9 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | |
| S. Bourland | 32 | -7 | -1 | - | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | ||
| S. Lichtie | 27 | 5-9 | -2 | - | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 |
| A. Shah | 26 | 1-7 | 1-5 | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | ||
| N. Ackerman | 26 | 3-9 | - | 2-2 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 18 | ||
| S. Richards | 17 | -3 | -1 | - | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | ||
| M. Carter | 16 | 4-10 | 2-6 | - | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | -1 | ||
| A. Olinger | 14 | -4 | - | - | 4 | 1 | -1 | ||||
| J. Hoffman | 8 | - | - | - | 1 | 1 |
* = starter