UC Davis Aggies
2026 Team Stats (31 games)
68.0
PPG
64.6
Opp
+3.4
Margin
40.7%
FG%
30.2%
3P%
74.5%
FT%
38.1
RPG
14.5
APG
15.1
TO
80.5
Pace
67.0
AdjO
67.7
AdjD
#175
Rank
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1098 (#118) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1062 (#139) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1058 (#115) | HCA +113 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.2 (#167) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.0 (#213) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.592 (#138) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.618 (#138) | NetEff +3.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.447 (#182) | AdjNet -1.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.435 (#184) | AdjNet -2.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.485 (#175) | AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 67.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.531 (#191) | AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 63.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.757 (#162) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.719 (#165) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1119 (#125) | RD 115 | GP 31 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
R. Bennett
|
G | 31 | 36.5 | 14.9 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 12.2 | 9.2 | 52 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 44.6 | 31.8 | 79.4 | 1.35 | 54.9 | 50.9 |
N. Epps
|
G | 31 | 33.0 | 12.9 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 12.5 | 4.4 | 29 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 36.8 | 28.1 | 80.2 | -0.24 | 46.9 | 42.5 |
M. Norris
|
C | 31 | 34.8 | 12.3 | 12.5 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 9.0 | 18.4 | 41 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 46.4 | 29.9 | 73.8 | 0.98 | 56.9 | 51.6 |
A. Sussex
|
G | 31 | 31.8 | 12.3 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 10.2 | 8.6 | 63 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 39.0 | 33.5 | 78.2 | 3.05 | 54.5 | 50.8 |
T. Young
|
F | 31 | 26.9 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 6.3 | 5.5 | -27 | -1.2 | -1.7 | 37.9 | 23.7 | 71.7 | -2.11 | 47.4 | 43.8 |
V. Baker
|
G | 29 | 16.6 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 3.1 | -196 | -4.6 | -8.4 | 40.6 | 30.2 | 59.3 | -3.3 | 50.5 | 48.5 |
E. Ersdala
|
G | 30 | 11.2 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 40.6 | 28.2 | 71.4 | -0.68 | 50.7 | 49.2 |
S. Lentfer
|
G | 27 | 9.4 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 11 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 36.7 | 32.1 | 76.5 | -0.1 | 51.3 | 45.9 |
T. Tsami
|
F | 22 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | -32 | -1.5 | -13.1 | 41.2 | 40.0 | 50.0 | -3.15 | 49.9 | 47.1 |
C. Davis
|
G | 17 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 14 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 27.8 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -1.86 | 35.7 | 30.6 |
H. Matthews
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
A. Fitzgerald
|
F | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Sahana Kanagasabay
|
G | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG