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Cal Poly Mustangs

Also known as: Cal Poly Mustangs
Program History

2027 Team Stats (1 games)

79.0
PPG
38.0
Opp
+41.0
Margin
45.5%
FG%
36.4%
3P%
78.6%
FT%
41.0
RPG
14.0
APG
9.0
TO
71.2
Est. poss./game

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 655 (returning production + recruiting): last season 769, returning -72, transfers -42, freshmen +0 More → 655 (#350) Preseason prior 655 (returning production + recruiting): last season 769, returning -72, transfers -42, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1000 (#237) -

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs UC Merced Bobcats W 79 - 38
2026-11-05 vs Whittier Poets - Preview
2026-11-09 @ Idaho State Bengals - Preview
2026-11-11 vs Seattle U Redhawks - Preview

2027 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Sumer Lee Sumer Lee G 1 30.0 17.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 12.0 - - - - 50.0 0.0 100.0 - 59.9 50.0
Dessi Ulmer Dessi Ulmer F 1 24.0 17.0 14.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 13.0 16.0 - - - - 53.8 50.0 50.0 - 57.6 57.7
Gabby Robinson Gabby Robinson G 1 27.0 12.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 11.0 - - - - 71.4 66.7 0 - 85.7 85.7
Madison Butcher Madison Butcher G 1 29.0 8.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 7.0 - - - - 37.5 40.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Maddy Tauro Maddy Tauro G 1 26.0 7.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 6.0 - - - - 25.0 25.0 0.0 - 28.1 29.2
Ysabella Von Seipler Ysabella Von Seipler G 1 23.0 6.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 9.0 - - - - 33.3 0.0 100.0 - 43.6 33.3
Ella Skrzyniarz Ella Skrzyniarz G 1 19.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 - - - - 40.0 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Mecca Alexander Mecca Alexander G 1 15.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 - - - - 50.0 50.0 100.0 - 86.8 75.0
Jordan Billing Jordan Billing G 1 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Avery Knapp Avery Knapp F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Katie Peiffer Katie Peiffer G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Nora Perez Nora Perez F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Atlanta Bass-Sulpizio Atlanta Bass-Sulpizio G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Lena Most Lena Most G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Bianca Slone Bianca Slone F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Dulci Vail Dulci Vail F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

66 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Ulmer25% Lee50% Ulmer100% Butcher100% Robinson50% Skrzyniarz100% Butcher67% Alexander100% Ulmer100%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Ulmer33% Tauro25% Ulmer100% Tauro50% Skrzyniarz50% Butcher50% Tauro100% Ulmer25% Tauro50% Skrzyniarz33%
Misses: who misses most here

Dessi UlmerGabby RobinsonSumer LeeMadison ButcherMaddy TauroElla SkrzyniarzMecca Alexander

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 12-21 57.1 24 Dessi Ulmer 25% (6 pts) Gabby Robinson 17% (4 pts) Dessi Ulmer 33% (3 misses) Maddy Tauro 33% (3 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 8-16 50.0 16 Sumer Lee 50% (8 pts) Dessi Ulmer 25% (4 pts) Maddy Tauro 25% (2 misses) Sumer Lee 25% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 0-1 0.0 0 - - Dessi Ulmer 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range center 1-3 33.3 2 Dessi Ulmer 100% (2 pts) - Maddy Tauro 50% (1 misses) Sumer Lee 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 1-3 33.3 2 Madison Butcher 100% (2 pts) - Ella Skrzyniarz 50% (1 misses) Ysabella Von Seipler 50% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 2-4 50.0 6 Gabby Robinson 50% (3 pts) Maddy Tauro 50% (3 pts) Madison Butcher 50% (1 misses) Ysabella Von Seipler 50% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 1-2 50.0 3 Ella Skrzyniarz 100% (3 pts) - Maddy Tauro 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 3-7 42.9 9 Madison Butcher 67% (6 pts) Gabby Robinson 33% (3 pts) Dessi Ulmer 25% (1 misses) Gabby Robinson 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 1-5 20.0 3 Mecca Alexander 100% (3 pts) - Maddy Tauro 50% (2 misses) Ella Skrzyniarz 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 1-4 25.0 3 Dessi Ulmer 100% (3 pts) - Ella Skrzyniarz 33% (1 misses) Mecca Alexander 33% (1 misses)