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Cal Poly Mustangs

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Cal Poly Mustangs
Program History

2026 Team Stats (26 games)

55.8
PPG
74.8
Opp
-19.0
Margin
37.2%
FG%
26.6%
3P%
74.1%
FT%
34.5
RPG
10.3
APG
20.3
TO
80.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 817 (#586) HCA +113 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -6.5 (#378) HCA +2.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 68.7 More → 0.249 (#578) AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 68.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.262 (#418) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.243 (#445) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 156 | GP 26 More → 671 (#584) RD 156 | GP 26

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-09 @ Stanford Cardinal L 55 - 90
2025-11-17 @ Eastern Washington Eagles L 67 - 78
2025-11-21 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds L 80 - 85
2025-11-24 vs Chapman Panthers W 59 - 31
2025-12-04 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans L 64 - 96
2025-12-16 @ UCLA Bruins L 28 - 115
2025-12-18 @ USC Trojans L 39 - 86
2025-12-28 @ California Golden Bears L 50 - 91
2026-01-01 @ UC San Diego Tritons L 54 - 75
2026-01-03 vs Long Beach State Beach W 63 - 49
2026-01-08 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors L 68 - 77
2026-01-10 @ UC Davis Aggies L 61 - 87
2026-01-15 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine L 46 - 86
2026-01-22 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 51 - 61
2026-01-24 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans L 41 - 73
2026-01-29 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners L 58 - 62
2026-01-31 vs UC Riverside Highlanders L 66 - 70
2026-02-05 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors L 50 - 65
2026-02-07 vs UC Davis Aggies L 55 - 59
2026-02-12 @ UC Irvine Anteaters L 39 - 84
2026-02-14 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 54 - 63
2026-02-19 vs Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine L 54 - 71
2026-02-26 @ Long Beach State Beach L 57 - 67
2026-02-28 vs UC San Diego Tritons L 61 - 85
2026-03-05 vs UC Irvine Anteaters L 65 - 85
2026-03-07 @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 66 - 54

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
V. McManus V. McManus G 22 32.0 15.9 4.5 1.2 0.7 0.1 2.9 13.3 6.1 118 6.2 7.3 41.0 31.4 79.6 4.92 52.1 46.4
C. Thompson C. Thompson F 25 29.6 13.7 5.0 1.0 0.8 0.4 2.7 10.9 7.4 0 0.0 0.0 43.8 25.0 80.3 -1.5 52.7 45.0
D. Vail D. Vail F 18 18.1 5.8 2.8 0.7 0.3 0.3 2.0 5.4 2.5 -26 -2.6 -6.4 39.2 43.8 80.8 -2.24 48.0 42.8
N. Perez N. Perez F 22 22.0 5.3 3.7 1.2 0.6 0.1 1.6 5.4 3.9 49 2.6 3.9 42.0 30.8 43.3 1.27 44.3 43.7
M. Butcher M. Butcher G 11 22.0 4.5 2.8 0.3 0.7 0.1 1.4 3.8 3.2 -93 -8.5 -12.5 38.1 39.3 100.0 -5.19 54.9 51.2
A. Goosby A. Goosby G 23 30.7 4.4 3.7 3.4 0.9 0.1 3.7 5.4 3.5 -33 -1.6 -2.0 34.7 23.1 71.4 -2.56 39.2 37.1
A. Knapp A. Knapp F 22 13.3 4.3 2.9 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.9 3.3 4.1 4 0.2 0.7 38.4 26.7 83.3 1.39 51.9 41.1
K. Peiffer K. Peiffer G 20 11.5 3.6 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.5 4.4 1.2 -12 -0.9 -2.7 26.1 21.2 70.6 -1.1 37.7 34.1
G. Robinson G. Robinson G 9 27.1 3.4 4.6 1.4 0.4 0.1 2.1 4.4 3.4 -73 -3.0 -6.5 32.5 0.0 62.5 -2.91 35.6 32.5
A. Garcia A. Garcia G 22 20.9 3.2 2.5 1.5 1.2 0.0 3.0 4.0 1.5 13 0.8 4.6 27.3 19.0 60.0 2.83 34.6 29.5
J. Billing J. Billing G 22 12.7 2.1 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.7 2.2 1.8 -7 -0.4 -1.2 32.7 27.3 75.0 -2.67 44.7 41.8
M. Sharvit M. Sharvit F 9 6.7 1.6 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 1.1 1.0 2.1 17 3.4 13.6 66.7 100.0 50.0 1.13 70.9 72.2
A. Moleon Hidalgo A. Moleon Hidalgo G 12 13.6 1.4 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 1.6 2.0 0.2 33 3.7 9.9 29.2 25.0 50.0 -1.52 33.0 31.2
G. Bears G. Bears F 17 8.9 1.2 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.2 1.7 0.4 47 2.9 11.5 20.7 20.0 58.3 -0.86 29.2 22.4
V. Franklin V. Franklin G 16 8.8 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.3 2.7 -0.9 23 1.5 10.0 18.6 13.8 0.0 0.37 22.8 23.3
Ella Skrzyniarz Ella Skrzyniarz G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG