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2024-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 75.0% 25.0% -
Bradley-Terry 63.7% 36.3% -
Margin 68.4% 31.6% -4.3 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 59.4% 40.6% -
Efficiency 76.7% 23.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.6% 17.4% -
Log Adjusted 82.7% 17.3% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -12 (61-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Domask * 36 4-14 0-2 3-4 4 3 1 0 1 11 4 +12.9
T. Shannon Jr. * 35 10-19 3-8 2-3 3 2 0 2 2 25 11 +9.9
Q. Guerrier * 31 5-10 2-3 2-4 13 0 0 0 0 14 17 +9.9
Ty Rodgers * 26 3-5 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 0 2 7 8 -
C. Hawkins * 25 2-6 0-1 0-0 10 3 0 1 2 4 10 +1.2
J. Harmon 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 0 -1 +4.4
D. Dainja 15 3-5 0-0 3-5 5 0 0 2 1 9 10 +9.5
L. Goode 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.6
N. Moretti 7 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -3.3

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dix * 38 6-13 0-3 1-2 4 2 0 1 0 13 7 -4.5
Pa. Sandfort * 33 9-19 5-13 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 23 11 -7.1
O. Freeman * 28 3-7 0-0 2-3 8 1 0 5 1 8 14 -4.1
T. Perkins * 27 1-10 0-0 0-2 4 4 1 0 1 2 0 -11.8
B. Krikke * 14 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 1 0 2 3 -14.5
P. McCaffery 24 1-4 1-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 5 2 -5.1
B. Harding 14 2-7 1-1 1-2 1 6 2 0 0 6 8 +2.6
Pr. Sandfort 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -7.1
L. Dembele 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -7.4

* = starter