Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.4% | 31.6% | -4.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -12 (61-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Domask * | 36 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +12.9 |
| T. Shannon Jr. * | 35 | 10-19 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 11 | +9.9 |
| Q. Guerrier * | 31 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | +9.9 |
| Ty Rodgers * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| C. Hawkins * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | +1.2 |
| J. Harmon | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +4.4 |
| D. Dainja | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +9.5 |
| L. Goode | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
| N. Moretti | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3.3 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dix * | 38 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | -4.5 |
| Pa. Sandfort * | 33 | 9-19 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 11 | -7.1 |
| O. Freeman * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14 | -4.1 |
| T. Perkins * | 27 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -11.8 |
| B. Krikke * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -14.5 |
| P. McCaffery | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -5.1 |
| B. Harding | 14 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +2.6 |
| Pr. Sandfort | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7.1 |
| L. Dembele | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7.4 |
* = starter