Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +8 (70-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mgbako * | 37 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Galloway * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| X. Johnson * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 2-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| M. Reneau * | 34 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| A. Walker * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| A. Leal | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| G. Cupps | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Sparks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Domask * | 39 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| C. Hawkins * | 35 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| T. Shannon Jr. * | 25 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 8-10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Ty Rodgers * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Q. Guerrier * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| L. Goode | 30 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Harmon | 29 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. Dainja | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Gibbs-Lawhorn | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| N. Moretti | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter