Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.0% | 22.0% | -7.0 | ✗ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +5 (96-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Domask * | 42 | 9-18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| C. Hawkins * | 42 | 8-16 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 23 | - |
| T. Shannon Jr. * | 40 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Q. Guerrier * | 35 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Ty Rodgers * | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Harmon | 28 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| L. Goode | 21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Dainja | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Moretti | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Gibbs-Lawhorn | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Barnhizer * | 44 | 9-15 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| B. Buie * | 42 | 12-25 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 15 | - |
| R. Langborg * | 41 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| M. Nicholson * | 34 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| T. Berry * | 33 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| N. Martinelli | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Preston | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Clayton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter