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2024-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Rutgers Scarlet Knights Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 9.7% 90.3% -
Bradley-Terry 15.9% 84.1% -
Margin 3.8% 96.2% +17.7 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 22.2% 77.8% -
Efficiency 5.5% 94.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.5% 96.5% -
Log Adjusted 3.5% 96.5% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +23 (86-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hyatt * 29 5-12 0-3 1-1 5 2 1 0 1 11 6 -
C. Omoruyi * 27 10-19 1-1 1-3 9 0 0 1 2 22 11 -
M. Mag * 25 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 2 -4 -
D. Simpson * 19 3-10 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 6 0 -
A. Williams * 17 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -
J. Davis 24 1-3 0-1 5-6 3 0 1 1 2 7 7 -
N. Fernandes 18 4-7 1-2 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 10 4 -
O. Palmquist 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 3 4 -
A. Woolfolk 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 3 0 0 2 3 -
G. Griffiths 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Chol 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hawkins * 33 5-12 1-7 1-2 9 4 5 0 2 12 16 -
M. Domask * 33 4-10 0-2 4-5 7 5 0 2 3 12 13 -
Q. Guerrier * 30 5-8 2-3 3-8 11 0 0 0 2 15 16 -
L. Goode * 19 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Ty Rodgers * 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
J. Harmon 29 8-13 2-5 0-0 8 1 0 1 2 18 13 -
T. Shannon Jr. 28 4-10 0-5 8-10 1 4 1 0 1 16 11 -
D. Dainja 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
N. Moretti 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 -
D. Gibbs-Lawhorn 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
AJ Redd 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter