Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.8% | 73.2% | +5.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +15 (88-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. East II * | 38 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 15-16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 20 | -13.6 |
| N. Carter * | 35 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -10.3 |
| T. Bates * | 35 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | -11.1 |
| N. Honor * | 34 | 4-12 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | -10.9 |
| J. Butler * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.3 |
| C. Vanover | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +3.9 |
| A. Shaw | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2.9 |
| M. Majak | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -9.5 |
| A. Robinson II | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Battle * | 38 | 11-15 | 6-10 | 14-14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 35 | +13.8 |
| T. Mark * | 35 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +12.2 |
| D. Davis * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | +12.9 |
| Player #4897145 * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| C. Lawson * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -6.4 |
| M. Mitchell | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | +17.5 |
| J. Davenport | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +5.8 |
| L. Blocker | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +3.3 |
| T. Brazile | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 |
* = starter