Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.3% | 10.7% | -11.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -18 (60-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mayer * | 31 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Player #4432847 * | 27 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Dainja * | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| S. Harris * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| C. Hawkins * | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Epps | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Ty Rodgers | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| R. Melendez | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. Lieb | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| P. Warden | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| AJ Redd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Cooper * | 38 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| D. Garcia * | 37 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Player #4431893 * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Ola-Joseph * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Samuels * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Payne | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | - |
| B. Carrington | 20 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| J. Henley | 14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Thompson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter