Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.9% | 32.1% | -4.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -10 (80-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Collier | 35 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 9-11 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 27 | - |
| D. Dantas | 33 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| B. Carleton | 31 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| C. Dangerfield | 30 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 5 | - |
| M. Herbert Harrigan | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| S. Johnson | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| L. Brown | 14 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7 | - |
| O. Sims | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Alexander | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Banham | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. McCall | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Turner | 34 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | - |
| B. Hartley | 32 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 31 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 10 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 29 | 3-12 | 2-9 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| A. Smith | 22 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Coffey | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
* = starter