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Youngstown State

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Youngstown State Penguins
Program History
Coach: Ethan Faulkner

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

74.0
PPG
83.7
Opp
-9.7
Margin
42.7%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
61.8%
FT%
31.3
RPG
14.3
APG
12.7
TO
71.3
Est. poss./game
75.9
Adj PPG
71.4
Adj Opp PPG
#159
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 801 (returning production + recruiting): last season 945, returning -56, transfers -61, freshmen -27 More → 812 (#270) Preseason prior 801 (returning production + recruiting): last season 945, returning -56, transfers -61, freshmen -27
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +212 elo More → 931 (#234) HCA +212 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +212 elo More → 974 (#208) HCA +212 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.0 More → -0.1 (#162) HCA +2.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More → +0.0 (#159) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.250 (#266) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.1 More → 0.404 (#217) AdjNet -2.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.7 More → 0.407 (#208) AdjNet -1.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 71.4 More → 0.492 (#159) AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 71.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 71.5 More → 0.516 (#147) AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 71.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.446 (#181) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.451 (#181) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 182 | GP 3 More → 888 (#263) RD 182 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.298 (#261) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 79 - 71
2026-11-06 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 65 - 89
2026-11-10 @ Central Michigan Chippewas L 78 - 91
2026-11-14 vs Marshall Thundering Herd - Preview
2026-11-18 @ Cincinnati Bearcats - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Linus Holmstrom Linus Holmstrom G 3 30.7 14.3 3.7 2.3 1.0 0.0 0.7 10.0 10.7 -9 3 -3.0 -3.9 46.7 42.3 80.0 0.88 66.8 65.0
Dom Aekins Dom Aekins G 3 29.7 11.3 3.3 6.3 1.0 0.0 3.7 11.0 7.3 -23 3 -7.7 -10.3 45.5 33.3 33.3 -0.86 49.5 50.0
Jaiden Haynes Jaiden Haynes G 3 33.7 11.0 2.7 3.3 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.3 10.7 -28 3 -9.3 -11.3 57.9 44.4 87.5 -1.14 73.3 68.4
Japhet Moupadele Japhet Moupadele F 3 17.7 10.0 4.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 1.3 7.3 6.0 -26 3 -8.7 -19.4 50.0 16.7 63.6 -1.27 55.9 52.3
Kelvin Amoako Kelvin Amoako C 3 22.3 9.0 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 5.0 10.3 -3 3 -1.0 -1.8 60.0 0 56.2 0.61 61.3 60.0
Jeff Nwankwo Jeff Nwankwo G 3 26.7 9.0 6.3 0.7 1.7 0.0 1.7 9.7 6.3 -27 3 -9.0 -13.5 27.6 41.7 42.9 -1.06 38.4 36.2
Jermaine Coleman Jermaine Coleman F 3 12.3 4.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 3 3 1.0 3.2 41.7 33.3 33.3 -1.25 52.6 54.2
Jayden Tyler Jayden Tyler G 3 11.7 3.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 1.7 2.3 0.3 2 3 0.7 2.3 28.6 16.7 100.0 0.1 51.4 35.7
Jamar Livingston Jamar Livingston G 3 7.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.0 -0.3 -17 3 -5.7 -31.9 33.3 0.0 50.0 -0.85 38.7 33.3
Kaelen Destin Kaelen Destin G 3 7.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.3 -0.7 -12 3 -4.0 -20.4 0.0 0.0 100.0 -0.66 12.7 0.0
Andrew Adcock-Vidouria Andrew Adcock-Vidouria G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Luka Lokhmanchuk Luka Lokhmanchuk F 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -5 1 -5.0 -84.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.6 0.0 0.0
Jacob Spurlock Jacob Spurlock G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Elijah Summers-Livingston Elijah Summers-Livingston F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

178 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Moupadele23% Amoako33% Aekins100% Aekins100% Aekins100% Nwankwo50% Aekins25% Holmstrom56% Haynes50% Holmstrom57%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Nwankwo35% Nwankwo33% Aekins67% Aekins100% Aekins25% Livingston25% Haynes50% Holmstrom25% Holmstrom38% Haynes23%
Misses: who misses most here

Linus HolmstromDom AekinsJaiden HaynesJaphet MoupadeleJeff NwankwoKelvin AmoakoJamar Livingston

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 30-50 60.0 60 Japhet Moupadele 23% (14 pts) Jaiden Haynes 20% (12 pts) Jeff Nwankwo 35% (7 misses) Kelvin Amoako 20% (4 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 12-30 40.0 24 Kelvin Amoako 33% (8 pts) Japhet Moupadele 25% (6 pts) Jeff Nwankwo 33% (6 misses) Dom Aekins 28% (5 misses)
Mid-range left 1-4 25.0 2 Dom Aekins 100% (2 pts) - Dom Aekins 67% (2 misses) Japhet Moupadele 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 1-2 50.0 2 Dom Aekins 100% (2 pts) - Dom Aekins 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 4-8 50.0 8 Dom Aekins 100% (8 pts) - Dom Aekins 25% (1 misses) Japhet Moupadele 25% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 6-10 60.0 18 Jeff Nwankwo 50% (9 pts) Jaiden Haynes 17% (3 pts) Jamar Livingston 25% (1 misses) Jermaine Coleman 25% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 4-6 66.7 12 Dom Aekins 25% (3 pts) Jaiden Haynes 25% (3 pts) Jaiden Haynes 50% (1 misses) Linus Holmstrom 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 9-33 27.3 27 Linus Holmstrom 56% (15 pts) Dom Aekins 11% (3 pts) Linus Holmstrom 25% (6 misses) Dom Aekins 21% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-15 13.3 6 Jaiden Haynes 50% (3 pts) Linus Holmstrom 50% (3 pts) Linus Holmstrom 38% (5 misses) Kaelen Destin 23% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 right 7-20 35.0 21 Linus Holmstrom 57% (12 pts) Dom Aekins 14% (3 pts) Jaiden Haynes 23% (3 misses) Jeff Nwankwo 23% (3 misses)