Youngstown State
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 812 (#270) | Preseason prior 801 (returning production + recruiting): last season 945, returning -56, transfers -61, freshmen -27 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 929 (#236) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 931 (#237) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.8 (#167) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.8 (#167) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.250 (#267) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.393 (#221) | AdjNet -3.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.401 (#214) | AdjNet -2.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.482 (#166) | AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 72.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.482 (#166) | AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 72.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.427 (#191) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.427 (#191) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 890 (#264) | RD 182 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.333 (#266) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | W | 79 - 71 |
| 2026-11-06 | @ | Ohio State Buckeyes | L | 65 - 89 |
| 2026-11-10 | @ | Central Michigan Chippewas | L | 78 - 91 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | Marshall Thundering Herd | W | 74 - 71 |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | Cincinnati Bearcats | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Linus Holmstrom
|
G | 3 | 30.7 | 14.3 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 10.0 | 10.7 | -9 | 3 | -3.0 | -3.9 | 46.7 | 42.3 | 80.0 | 0.87 | 66.8 | 65.0 |
Kelvin Amoako
|
C | 4 | 23.8 | 11.0 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 6.2 | 12.2 | -3 | 3 | -1.0 | -1.8 | 60.0 | 0 | 51.9 | 0.6 | 59.7 | 60.0 |
Jaiden Haynes
|
G | 4 | 32.2 | 10.8 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 7.2 | 8.5 | -28 | 3 | -9.3 | -11.3 | 51.7 | 44.4 | 90.0 | -1.15 | 64.4 | 58.6 |
Japhet Moupadele
|
F | 4 | 16.2 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 7.2 | -26 | 3 | -8.7 | -19.4 | 50.0 | 14.3 | 65.0 | -1.28 | 57.5 | 51.9 |
Jeff Nwankwo
|
G | 4 | 25.8 | 9.8 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.8 | 7.2 | -27 | 3 | -9.0 | -13.5 | 37.1 | 50.0 | 40.0 | -1.07 | 46.9 | 47.1 |
Dom Aekins
|
G | 4 | 27.0 | 9.5 | 2.8 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 9.8 | 5.8 | -23 | 3 | -7.7 | -10.3 | 43.6 | 27.3 | 33.3 | -0.87 | 47.1 | 47.4 |
Jermaine Coleman
|
F | 4 | 15.5 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 31.6 | 26.7 | 40.0 | -1.26 | 42.5 | 42.1 |
Jayden Tyler
|
G | 4 | 13.5 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 3 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 35.7 | 14.3 | 75.0 | 0.07 | 48.5 | 39.3 |
Jamar Livingston
|
G | 4 | 13.2 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0.5 | -17 | 3 | -5.7 | -31.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.87 | 34.7 | 25.0 |
Kaelen Destin
|
G | 4 | 9.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | -12 | 3 | -4.0 | -20.4 | 11.1 | 16.7 | 75.0 | -0.67 | 27.9 | 16.7 |
Andrew Adcock-Vidouria
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Luka Lokhmanchuk
|
F | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -5 | 1 | -5.0 | -84.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.62 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Jacob Spurlock
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Elijah Summers-Livingston
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
235 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Linus HolmstromDom AekinsJaiden HaynesJeff NwankwoKelvin AmoakoJermaine ColemanJayden Tyler
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 36-64 | 56.2 | 72 | Jaiden Haynes 22% (16 pts) | Japhet Moupadele 22% (16 pts) | Jeff Nwankwo 25% (7 misses) | Kelvin Amoako 21% (6 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 25-52 | 48.1 | 50 | Kelvin Amoako 28% (14 pts) | Japhet Moupadele 16% (8 pts) | Dom Aekins 22% (6 misses) | Jaiden Haynes 22% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-6 | 33.3 | 4 | Dom Aekins 100% (4 pts) | - | Dom Aekins 50% (2 misses) | Jaiden Haynes 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-2 | 50.0 | 2 | Dom Aekins 100% (2 pts) | - | Dom Aekins 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 5-12 | 41.7 | 10 | Dom Aekins 80% (8 pts) | Jeff Nwankwo 20% (2 pts) | Jayden Tyler 29% (2 misses) | Jeff Nwankwo 29% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 6-12 | 50.0 | 18 | Jeff Nwankwo 50% (9 pts) | Jaiden Haynes 17% (3 pts) | Jermaine Coleman 33% (2 misses) | Jamar Livingston 17% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 4-7 | 57.1 | 12 | Dom Aekins 25% (3 pts) | Jaiden Haynes 25% (3 pts) | Jaiden Haynes 33% (1 misses) | Jermaine Coleman 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 12-39 | 30.8 | 36 | Linus Holmstrom 42% (15 pts) | Jeff Nwankwo 17% (6 pts) | Jermaine Coleman 22% (6 misses) | Linus Holmstrom 22% (6 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-18 | 16.7 | 9 | Jaiden Haynes 33% (3 pts) | Jeff Nwankwo 33% (3 pts) | Linus Holmstrom 33% (5 misses) | Japhet Moupadele 20% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-23 | 30.4 | 21 | Linus Holmstrom 57% (12 pts) | Dom Aekins 14% (3 pts) | Jaiden Haynes 19% (3 misses) | Jeff Nwankwo 19% (3 misses) |