Yale
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 836 (#229) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 849 (#235) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 973 (#190) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -11.6 (#263) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -9.2 (#251) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.279 (#241) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.135 (#269) | AdjNet -16.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.132 (#269) | AdjNet -16.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.290 (#258) | AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 72.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.384 (#235) | AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 71.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.277 (#249) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.294 (#246) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 879 (#218) | RD 153 | GP 25 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-11-27 | vs | Colgate | L | 65 - 83 |
| 1993-12-01 | @ | Connecticut | L | 64 - 81 |
| 1993-12-03 | N | La Salle | L | 69 - 78 |
| 1993-12-04 | N | Sam Houston | W | 63 - 50 |
| 1993-12-08 | @ | New Hampshire | W | 74 - 70 |
| 1993-12-11 | N | Hofstra | L | 51 - 52 |
| 1993-12-12 | N | Colgate | L | 61 - 74 |
| 1993-12-30 | vs | Kent State | L | 45 - 71 |
| 1994-01-02 | @ | Vermont | L | 72 - 74 |
| 1994-01-06 | @ | Lafayette | L | 69 - 85 |
| 1994-01-08 | @ | Lehigh | L | 73 - 76 |
| 1994-01-15 | @ | Brown | W | 70 - 60 |
| 1994-01-22 | vs | Brown | L | 63 - 69 |
| 1994-01-28 | @ | Cornell | W | 65 - 59 |
| 1994-01-29 | @ | Columbia | L | 58 - 77 |
| 1994-02-04 | @ | Harvard | W | 62 - 57 |
| 1994-02-05 | @ | Dartmouth | L | 45 - 76 |
| 1994-02-11 | vs | Princeton | L | 57 - 68 |
| 1994-02-12 | vs | Pennsylvania | L | 66 - 76 |
| 1994-02-18 | vs | Columbia | W | 73 - 51 |
| 1994-02-19 | vs | Cornell | W | 83 - 66 |
| 1994-02-25 | @ | Pennsylvania | L | 63 - 87 |
| 1994-02-26 | @ | Princeton | L | 49 - 70 |
| 1994-03-04 | vs | Dartmouth | W | 63 - 55 |
| 1994-03-05 | vs | Harvard | W | 72 - 67 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.