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Xavier

Also known as: Xavier Musketeers, Xavier
Program History

Model Outputs

2001-2002
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1383 (#13) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1324 (#9) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More โ†’ 1192 (#7) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ +13.1 (#31) HCA +4.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +11.7 (#39) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.842 (#15) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.1 More โ†’ 0.911 (#27) AdjNet +20.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.3 More โ†’ 0.913 (#25) AdjNet +20.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 60.0 More โ†’ 0.766 (#23) AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 60.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 62.6 More โ†’ 0.709 (#21) AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 62.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.837 (#19) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.828 (#18) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1308 (#11) RD 106 | GP 32

2002 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2001-11-17 vs Coastal Carolina W 72 - 41
2001-11-24 @ Missouri L 60 - 72
2001-11-28 @ Miami (OH) W 87 - 58
2001-12-01 @ San Francisco W 87 - 72
2001-12-05 @ Purdue L 66 - 70
2001-12-08 vs Long Island University W 108 - 57
2001-12-10 vs Wisconsin W 57 - 48
2001-12-14 vs Cincinnati L 55 - 75
2001-12-20 vs Kent State W 62 - 56
2001-12-22 @ Creighton W 72 - 65
2001-12-31 vs Siena W 68 - 59
2002-01-05 @ Dayton W 66 - 59
2002-01-09 vs Fordham W 88 - 58
2002-01-12 vs Richmond W 72 - 62
2002-01-17 @ George Washington W 71 - 63
2002-01-19 @ La Salle W 71 - 67
2002-01-23 @ Rhode Island W 67 - 49
2002-01-26 vs Dayton W 75 - 59
2002-01-30 vs Duquesne W 79 - 65
2002-02-02 @ Richmond W 67 - 64
2002-02-09 @ St. Bonaventure L 79 - 80
2002-02-14 vs George Washington W 89 - 75
2002-02-16 vs Saint Joseph's W 84 - 77
2002-02-20 @ Temple L 56 - 67
2002-02-24 @ Duquesne W 80 - 66
2002-02-28 vs La Salle W 68 - 53
2002-03-02 vs Massachusetts W 72 - 52
2002-03-07 N Massachusetts W 65 - 59
2002-03-08 N Dayton W 66 - 59
2002-03-09 N Richmond W 73 - 60
2002-03-15 N Hawaii W 70 - 58
2002-03-17 N Oklahoma L 65 - 78

2002 Roster

No roster data available for this season.