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Xavier

Also known as: Xavier Musketeers, Xavier
Program History

Model Outputs

1995-1996
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1101 (#97) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1017 (#133) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More โ†’ 999 (#143) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ +3.7 (#109) HCA +3.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.4 More โ†’ +4.4 (#104) HCA +3.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.538 (#125) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.5 More โ†’ 0.627 (#113) AdjNet +4.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.6 More โ†’ 0.629 (#113) AdjNet +4.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 72.4 More โ†’ 0.576 (#104) AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 72.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 72.6 More โ†’ 0.544 (#116) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 72.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.574 (#115) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.567 (#119) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 133 | GP 28 More โ†’ 1036 (#118) RD 133 | GP 28

1996 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1995-11-25 vs Saint Francis (PA) W 88 - 61
1995-11-30 @ Virginia Commonwealth L 75 - 81
1995-12-02 vs Long Island University W 109 - 78
1995-12-06 @ Miami (OH) L 71 - 85
1995-12-09 @ Ohio L 72 - 103
1995-12-16 vs Delaware State W 87 - 57
1995-12-20 @ Kansas State L 67 - 73
1995-12-23 vs Notre Dame L 70 - 72
1995-12-30 vs Morgan State W 78 - 59
1996-01-06 @ La Salle W 69 - 60
1996-01-09 @ Temple L 56 - 73
1996-01-13 vs Fordham W 74 - 61
1996-01-17 vs Cincinnati L 90 - 99
1996-01-20 @ St. Bonaventure W 76 - 62
1996-01-25 vs La Salle W 60 - 59
1996-01-27 @ Dayton L 55 - 61
1996-01-31 vs Saint Joseph's W 84 - 71
1996-02-04 vs Massachusetts L 74 - 78
1996-02-07 @ George Washington L 69 - 77
1996-02-10 vs Virginia Tech L 73 - 78
1996-02-17 @ Rhode Island L 70 - 87
1996-02-20 vs Dayton W 102 - 95
1996-02-24 vs Duquesne W 116 - 105
1996-02-26 vs George Washington L 77 - 81
1996-02-29 @ Virginia Tech L 61 - 70
1996-03-03 @ Duquesne W 76 - 75
1996-03-06 N Fordham W 61 - 54
1996-03-07 @ Temple L 50 - 67

1996 Roster

No roster data available for this season.