Xavier
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1219 (#49) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1176 (#51) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1080 (#59) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.7 (#55) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.5 (#54) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.787 (#33) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.824 (#52) | AdjNet +13.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.826 (#52) | AdjNet +13.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.699 (#49) | AdjO 78.3 | AdjD 69.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.657 (#46) | AdjO 79.1 | AdjD 72.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.725 (#46) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.717 (#46) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1154 (#56) | RD 104 | GP 29 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-12-04 | @ | Duke | L | 60 - 82 |
| 1993-12-06 | vs | Hartford | W | 65 - 56 |
| 1993-12-11 | @ | Miami (OH) | W | 72 - 69 |
| 1993-12-18 | vs | Virginia Tech | W | 85 - 52 |
| 1993-12-20 | vs | UNC Asheville | W | 82 - 55 |
| 1993-12-30 | @ | UMBC | W | 92 - 66 |
| 1994-01-03 | @ | East Tennessee State | W | 93 - 65 |
| 1994-01-08 | vs | Brown | W | 79 - 64 |
| 1994-01-09 | vs | New Hampshire | W | 82 - 65 |
| 1994-01-12 | vs | Dayton | W | 57 - 46 |
| 1994-01-15 | @ | Butler | W | 86 - 80 |
| 1994-01-19 | vs | Cincinnati | W | 82 - 76 |
| 1994-01-22 | @ | Evansville | L | 61 - 91 |
| 1994-01-24 | @ | Dayton | W | 88 - 62 |
| 1994-01-26 | vs | Detroit Mercy | W | 75 - 68 |
| 1994-01-29 | vs | Loyola (IL) | W | 83 - 55 |
| 1994-01-31 | @ | Saint Francis (PA) | L | 73 - 77 |
| 1994-02-05 | @ | La Salle | W | 73 - 66 |
| 1994-02-12 | vs | George Washington | L | 92 - 93 |
| 1994-02-16 | vs | Butler | W | 93 - 73 |
| 1994-02-19 | @ | Detroit Mercy | L | 82 - 86 |
| 1994-02-23 | vs | Virginia Commonwealth | L | 76 - 79 |
| 1994-02-26 | vs | Evansville | W | 73 - 66 |
| 1994-03-01 | @ | Loyola (IL) | W | 98 - 76 |
| 1994-03-03 | vs | La Salle | W | 79 - 77 |
| 1994-03-07 | N | Detroit Mercy | L | 75 - 79 |
| 1994-03-16 | vs | Miami (OH) | W | 80 - 68 |
| 1994-03-21 | @ | Northwestern | W | 83 - 79 |
| 1994-03-23 | @ | Villanova | L | 74 - 76 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.