Xavier
Model Outputs
1990-1991
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1228 (#40) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1118 (#79) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1111 (#39) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.1 (#107) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.0 (#84) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.709 (#52) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.683 (#96) | AdjNet +6.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.684 (#96) | AdjNet +6.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.603 (#98) | AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 73.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.628 (#67) | AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 71.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.677 (#72) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.681 (#69) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1168 (#57) | RD 104 | GP 32 |
1991 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990-11-24 | vs | Mount St. Mary's | W | 103 - 96 |
| 1990-11-26 | vs | Bethune-Cookman | W | 82 - 56 |
| 1990-11-28 | vs | Ball State | L | 94 - 100 |
| 1990-12-01 | @ | Canisius | W | 62 - 59 |
| 1990-12-05 | vs | Loyola (MD) | W | 87 - 68 |
| 1990-12-08 | vs | Miami (OH) | L | 95 - 100 |
| 1990-12-22 | vs | Winthrop | W | 83 - 53 |
| 1990-12-30 | vs | Detroit Mercy | W | 91 - 66 |
| 1991-01-02 | vs | New Hampshire | W | 75 - 54 |
| 1991-01-05 | @ | Fordham | L | 74 - 87 |
| 1991-01-10 | @ | Marquette | W | 98 - 93 |
| 1991-01-12 | @ | Loyola (IL) | W | 81 - 74 |
| 1991-01-14 | vs | Massachusetts | W | 71 - 66 |
| 1991-01-17 | vs | Evansville | W | 100 - 85 |
| 1991-01-19 | vs | Saint Louis | L | 56 - 58 |
| 1991-01-24 | @ | Detroit Mercy | W | 69 - 67 |
| 1991-01-26 | @ | South Florida | L | 88 - 92 |
| 1991-01-30 | @ | Cincinnati | L | 56 - 69 |
| 1991-02-02 | @ | Saint Louis | L | 74 - 95 |
| 1991-02-07 | vs | Marquette | W | 71 - 66 |
| 1991-02-09 | vs | Loyola (IL) | W | 87 - 74 |
| 1991-02-12 | vs | Butler | W | 80 - 73 |
| 1991-02-14 | @ | Evansville | W | 69 - 56 |
| 1991-02-17 | @ | Dayton | L | 79 - 83 |
| 1991-02-19 | @ | Wright State | L | 83 - 91 |
| 1991-02-23 | @ | Butler | W | 105 - 93 |
| 1991-03-02 | vs | Dayton | W | 102 - 79 |
| 1991-03-07 | N | Detroit Mercy | W | 66 - 59 |
| 1991-03-08 | @ | Dayton | W | 90 - 71 |
| 1991-03-09 | N | Saint Louis | W | 81 - 65 |
| 1991-03-14 | N | Nebraska | W | 89 - 84 |
| 1991-03-16 | N | Connecticut | L | 50 - 66 |
1991 Roster
No roster data available for this season.