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Xavier Musketeers

Also known as: Xavier Musketeers
Program History

2018 Team Stats (2 games)

49.5
PPG
70.5
Opp
-21.0
Margin
30.7%
FG%
21.3%
3P%
75.0%
FT%
29.0
RPG
9.5
APG
10.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
59.5
Adj PPG
60.8
Adj Opp PPG
#177
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 971 (#181) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 946 (#205) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +77 elo More โ†’ 892 (#290) HCA +77 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ -0.6 (#169) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.3 More โ†’ -2.1 (#186) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.202 (#271) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.6 More โ†’ 0.455 (#174) AdjNet -1.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.5 More โ†’ 0.455 (#173) AdjNet -1.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.5 | AdjD 60.8 More โ†’ 0.471 (#177) AdjO 59.5 | AdjD 60.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.9 | AdjD 63.2 More โ†’ 0.362 (#262) AdjO 56.9 | AdjD 63.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.412 (#202) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.391 (#215) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 147 | GP 30 More โ†’ 954 (#199) RD 147 | GP 30

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-11 vs New Hampshire Wildcats W 71 - 66
2017-11-14 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 66 - 45
2017-11-16 vs Grambling Lady Tigers W 72 - 67
2017-11-22 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 62 - 74
2017-11-29 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 62 - 50
2017-12-04 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 57 - 62
2017-12-06 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 53 - 63
2017-12-10 vs Cincinnati Bearcats W 53 - 50
2017-12-17 vs Furman Paladins W 75 - 62
2017-12-18 @ Missouri Tigers L 48 - 74
2017-12-22 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 70 - 52
2017-12-29 @ Butler Bulldogs W 69 - 62
2018-01-02 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 60 - 65
2018-01-05 @ Villanova Wildcats L 57 - 75
2018-01-07 vs St. John's Red Storm L 63 - 67
2018-01-10 vs Seton Hall Pirates L 51 - 62
2018-01-12 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 48 - 79
2018-01-14 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 67 - 88
2018-01-19 vs Providence Friars W 68 - 59
2018-01-22 vs Creighton Bluejays L 64 - 71
2018-01-26 vs Villanova Wildcats L 50 - 89
2018-01-28 vs Georgetown Hoyas L 48 - 65
2018-02-02 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 53 - 58
2018-02-04 @ St. John's Red Storm L 36 - 70
2018-02-09 vs Marquette Golden Eagles L 63 - 80
2018-02-11 vs DePaul Blue Demons L 72 - 73
2018-02-16 @ Creighton Bluejays L 54 - 65
2018-02-18 @ Providence Friars L 48 - 69
2018-02-25 vs Butler Bulldogs W 57 - 54
2018-03-03 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 42 - 66

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
I. Partlow I. Partlow F 2 19.5 10.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 7.0 -100 17 -5.9 -11.6 42.9 0.0 80.0 -1.84 54.3 42.9
J. Byrd J. Byrd G 2 28.0 8.5 3.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 7.5 6.5 -98 21 -4.7 -7.8 40.0 0 55.6 -2.46 44.8 40.0
D. Ross D. Ross F 2 22.0 8.0 4.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 7.5 6.5 -7 23 -0.3 -0.9 26.7 25.0 83.3 1.31 45.4 36.7
P. Stewart P. Stewart G 2 20.0 4.5 2.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 5.5 2.0 -39 23 -1.7 -4.3 27.3 16.7 100.0 -0.56 37.9 31.8
K. Fincher K. Fincher G 2 18.5 4.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 4.0 2.0 -95 18 -5.3 -9.9 25.0 28.6 100.0 -2.3 45.0 37.5
A. Aijanen A. Aijanen F 2 21.5 4.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 2.0 -40 23 -1.7 -2.6 22.2 0.0 66.7 2.95 34.4 22.2
A. Gray A. Gray F 2 12.5 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 4.5 2.5 -30 23 -1.3 -3.4 33.3 66.7 0 -0.62 44.4 44.4
A. Dunham A. Dunham G 2 25.0 3.0 2.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.5 -26 23 -1.1 -2.5 25.0 28.6 0 0.11 37.5 37.5
M. Christopher M. Christopher F 1 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 -3 10 -0.3 -3.1 50.0 0.0 0 -1.29 50.0 50.0
N. Owens N. Owens G 2 18.0 1.5 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 2.5 2.5 2.0 -102 21 -4.9 -9.3 20.0 0.0 100.0 -2.62 27.6 20.0
A. Reiff A. Reiff G 2 7.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 23 21 1.1 4.5 25.0 0.0 0 1.5 25.0 25.0
A. Gomez A. Gomez G 2 4.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -10 23 -0.4 -1.8 0.0 0.0 0 -0.96 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG