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Xavier Musketeers

Also known as: Xavier Musketeers
Program History

2017 Team Stats (2 games)

56.0
PPG
77.5
Opp
-21.5
Margin
36.0%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
76.9%
FT%
30.5
RPG
9.5
APG
17.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
61.4
Adj PPG
60.8
Adj Opp PPG
#157
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 995 (#172) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 960 (#197) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +87 elo More โ†’ 895 (#297) HCA +87 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +1.1 (#152) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +0.5 (#162) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.409 (#208) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.7 More โ†’ 0.578 (#141) AdjNet +2.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.9 More โ†’ 0.583 (#141) AdjNet +2.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 60.8 More โ†’ 0.514 (#157) AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 60.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 64.1 More โ†’ 0.438 (#205) AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 64.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.472 (#176) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.456 (#183) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 146 | GP 30 More โ†’ 962 (#187) RD 146 | GP 30

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-12 vs Tennessee State Lady Tigers W 63 - 54
2016-11-18 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 54 - 48
2016-11-22 vs North Florida Ospreys W 83 - 46
2016-11-27 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 62 - 41
2016-12-01 vs Delaware State Hornets W 86 - 53
2016-12-05 vs Michigan Wolverines W 61 - 58
2016-12-08 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 45 - 58
2016-12-11 @ Cincinnati Bearcats W 72 - 61
2016-12-19 vs Oklahoma Sooners L 69 - 81
2016-12-20 @ Southern Miss Lady Eagles L 59 - 73
2016-12-21 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 75 - 52
2016-12-28 @ Providence Friars W 54 - 51
2016-12-30 @ Creighton Bluejays L 52 - 63
2017-01-02 vs St. John's Red Storm L 48 - 65
2017-01-04 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 72 - 64
2017-01-08 vs Butler Bulldogs L 62 - 65
2017-01-13 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 61 - 85
2017-01-15 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 69 - 85
2017-01-20 vs Georgetown Hoyas L 64 - 69
2017-01-22 vs Villanova Wildcats L 47 - 72
2017-01-27 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 62 - 71
2017-01-29 @ St. John's Red Storm L 55 - 64
2017-02-04 @ Butler Bulldogs W 53 - 43
2017-02-10 vs DePaul Blue Demons L 43 - 70
2017-02-12 vs Marquette Golden Eagles L 71 - 86
2017-02-17 @ Villanova Wildcats L 71 - 76
2017-02-19 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 63 - 81
2017-02-24 vs Creighton Bluejays L 57 - 67
2017-02-26 vs Providence Friars W 67 - 57
2017-03-04 vs Butler Bulldogs L 66 - 68

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R. Gaffney R. Gaffney G 2 29.5 14.0 3.5 0.5 1.5 0.0 3.0 15.0 1.5 - - - - 30.0 57.1 60.0 - 40.7 36.7
M. Turner M. Turner G 2 31.0 11.5 4.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 1.5 15.5 2.0 - - - - 29.0 27.3 100.0 - 36.1 33.9
M. Blackwell M. Blackwell F 2 23.0 8.0 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 3.5 8.0 - - - - 71.4 0 100.0 - 83.0 71.4
N. Owens N. Owens G 2 13.5 6.0 3.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.5 5.0 5.0 - - - - 60.0 0 0 - 60.0 60.0
I. Partlow I. Partlow F 2 21.0 4.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 5.0 -0.5 - - - - 30.0 0 75.0 - 38.3 30.0
K. Fincher K. Fincher G 2 27.5 4.0 2.5 0.5 1.0 0.5 2.0 5.5 1.0 - - - - 27.3 25.0 0 - 36.4 36.4
J. Byrd J. Byrd G 2 13.5 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 - - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 61.5 50.0
A. Aijanen A. Aijanen F 2 11.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.5 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
M. Thompson M. Thompson G 2 6.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 3.0 - - - - 50.0 100.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
L. Schaefer L. Schaefer F 2 15.5 1.0 3.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 4.0 - - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
T. Floyd T. Floyd F 1 9.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -2.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 12.9 0.0
A. Gomez A. Gomez G 2 2.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
M. Christopher M. Christopher F 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG