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Xavier Musketeers

Also known as: Xavier Musketeers
Program History

2012 Team Stats (1 games)

48.0
PPG
66.0
Opp
-18.0
Margin
32.1%
FG%
28.6%
3P%
57.1%
FT%
32.0
RPG
12.0
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
60.2
Adj PPG
60.6
Adj Opp PPG
#164
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1073 (#130) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 904 (#225) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +78 elo More โ†’ 946 (#246) HCA +78 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +0.1 (#155) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -1.3 (#172) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.247 (#259) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.1 More โ†’ 0.504 (#158) AdjNet +0.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.3 More โ†’ 0.509 (#157) AdjNet +0.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 60.6 More โ†’ 0.492 (#164) AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 60.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 60.7 More โ†’ 0.445 (#204) AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 60.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.466 (#174) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.457 (#184) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 159 | GP 28 More โ†’ 933 (#209) RD 159 | GP 28

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-12 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 66 - 61
2011-11-14 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 65 - 71
2011-11-20 @ Louisville Cardinals L 44 - 62
2011-11-25 vs Stanford Cardinal L 64 - 80
2011-11-30 vs South Carolina Gamecocks L 56 - 67
2011-12-04 vs Cincinnati Bearcats W 69 - 60
2011-12-06 vs Morehead State Eagles W 71 - 66
2011-12-09 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 49 - 65
2011-12-18 vs Syracuse Orange L 67 - 70
2011-12-19 vs Ohio Bobcats L 75 - 80
2011-12-20 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 51 - 73
2011-12-29 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 52 - 59
2012-01-04 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers L 54 - 60
2012-01-07 vs Charlotte 49ers L 54 - 58
2012-01-11 @ Duquesne Dukes L 49 - 68
2012-01-14 @ La Salle Explorers L 51 - 63
2012-01-21 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks L 67 - 70
2012-01-24 vs Temple Owls L 38 - 64
2012-01-28 @ Rhode Island Rams W 67 - 57
2012-02-01 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 67 - 57
2012-02-05 vs Dayton Flyers L 65 - 74
2012-02-08 @ George Washington Revolutionaries L 44 - 54
2012-02-11 @ Fordham Rams W 68 - 57
2012-02-15 vs Richmond Spiders W 76 - 60
2012-02-18 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 48 - 66
2012-02-22 @ Dayton Flyers L 54 - 83
2012-02-26 vs Massachusetts Minutewomen W 70 - 61
2012-03-02 @ La Salle Explorers L 49 - 52

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Moss T. Moss NA 1 0.0 10.0 3.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 4.0 -124 24 -5.2 -5.9 25.0 50.0 0 0.68 31.2 31.2
J. Pachko J. Pachko NA 1 0.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 -2.0 -109 24 -4.5 -7.1 33.3 0 50.0 -1.45 35.4 33.3
S. Hawkes S. Hawkes G 1 0.0 7.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 7.0 -99 22 -4.5 -5.4 25.0 25.0 100.0 2.17 39.4 31.2
L. Crouch L. Crouch F 1 0.0 5.0 14.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 7.0 14.0 -60 16 -3.8 -8.4 28.6 0 33.3 -1.86 30.0 28.6
A. Wanninger A. Wanninger G 1 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 -111 24 -4.6 -7.1 0.0 0.0 0 -1.09 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG