๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Xavier

Also known as: Xavier Musketeers, Xavier
Program History

2023 Team Stats (37 games)

80.9
PPG
74.1
Opp
+6.9
Margin
49.2%
FG%
39.0%
3P%
71.0%
FT%
37.7
RPG
19.1
APG
12.4
TO
71.5
Est. poss./game
81.6
Adj PPG
68.1
Adj Opp PPG
#17
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2022-2023
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1370 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1263 (#20) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +85 elo More โ†’ 1128 (#30) HCA +85 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +14.6 (#16) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +15.3 (#13) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.735 (#55) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +9.5 More โ†’ 0.735 (#55) NetEff +9.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.4 More โ†’ 0.913 (#26) AdjNet +20.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.6 More โ†’ 0.914 (#26) AdjNet +20.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 68.1 More โ†’ 0.773 (#17) AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 68.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 68.4 More โ†’ 0.700 (#22) AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 68.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.838 (#18) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.828 (#19) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 92 | GP 37 More โ†’ 1285 (#18) RD 92 | GP 37

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-11-07 vs Morgan State Bears W 96 - 73
2022-11-11 vs Montana Grizzlies W 86 - 64
2022-11-15 vs Fairfield Stags W 78 - 65
2022-11-18 vs Indiana Hoosiers L 79 - 81
2022-11-24 vs Florida Gators W 90 - 83
2022-11-25 vs Duke Blue Devils L 64 - 71
2022-11-27 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 84 - 88
2022-11-30 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 95 - 63
2022-12-03 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 84 - 74
2022-12-10 @ Cincinnati Bearcats W 80 - 77
2022-12-13 vs Southern Jaguars W 79 - 59
2022-12-16 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 102 - 89
2022-12-20 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 73 - 70
2022-12-28 @ St. John's Red Storm W 84 - 79
2022-12-31 vs UConn Huskies W 83 - 73
2023-01-07 @ Villanova Wildcats W 88 - 80
2023-01-11 vs Creighton Bluejays W 90 - 87
2023-01-15 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 80 - 76
2023-01-18 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 72 - 73
2023-01-21 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 95 - 82
2023-01-25 @ UConn Huskies W 82 - 79
2023-01-28 @ Creighton Bluejays L 67 - 84
2023-02-01 vs Providence Friars W 85 - 83
2023-02-04 vs St. John's Red Storm W 96 - 71
2023-02-10 @ Butler Bulldogs L 67 - 69
2023-02-15 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 68 - 69
2023-02-18 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 82 - 68
2023-02-21 vs Villanova Wildcats L 63 - 64
2023-02-24 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 82 - 60
2023-03-01 @ Providence Friars W 94 - 89
2023-03-04 vs Butler Bulldogs W 78 - 66
2023-03-09 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 89 - 84
2023-03-10 vs Creighton Bluejays W 82 - 60
2023-03-11 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 51 - 65
2023-03-17 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 72 - 67
2023-03-19 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 84 - 73
2023-03-24 @ Texas Longhorns L 71 - 83

2023 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Souley Boum Souley Boum G 37 35.3 16.4 4.3 4.3 1.0 0.2 1.9 11.4 12.8 265 36 7.4 8.6 44.0 40.4 87.1 2.86 60.3 53.2
Zach Freemantle Zach Freemantle F 22 28.5 15.2 8.1 2.9 0.9 0.7 2.6 10.6 14.6 140 21 6.7 9.5 58.5 63.6 65.3 0.23 63.0 61.5
Colby Jones Colby Jones - 36 34.0 15.0 5.7 4.4 1.3 0.6 2.3 11.3 13.3 250 35 7.1 8.6 50.9 37.8 65.3 3.93 58.5 56.4
Jack Nunge Jack Nunge C 37 29.3 14.2 7.8 2.1 0.9 1.2 1.3 10.5 14.3 275 36 7.6 10.7 51.5 39.2 67.7 4.42 59.2 56.7
Adam Kunkel Adam Kunkel G 35 30.3 10.9 2.7 3.0 1.1 0.1 1.7 8.6 7.5 240 34 7.1 9.5 46.0 42.5 87.2 0.83 59.5 57.3
Jerome Hunter Jerome Hunter F 37 20.8 7.8 4.4 1.3 0.4 0.4 1.0 5.4 7.9 90 36 2.5 4.9 57.5 11.1 69.5 -0.67 61.0 57.8
Desmond Claude Desmond Claude G 35 20.8 4.7 2.5 1.8 0.8 0.1 1.5 4.3 4.3 71 34 2.1 4.1 42.3 29.3 57.1 -1.28 48.7 46.3
Kam Craft Kam Craft G 15 6.7 2.6 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 2.1 1.9 -3 14 -0.2 -1.3 50.0 35.3 50.0 -2.91 59.3 59.4
Kyky Tandy Kyky Tandy G 22 10.5 2.2 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.5 2.5 1.5 -11 21 -0.5 -2.0 30.4 26.5 71.4 -3.02 40.6 38.4
Cesare Edwards Cesare Edwards C 23 7.8 2.2 1.9 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 2.2 16 23 0.7 3.6 56.4 0.0 50.0 0.64 56.5 56.4
Dieonte Miles Dieonte Miles F 12 6.5 1.1 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.3 -34 11 -3.1 -18.5 38.5 0 21.4 -4.04 33.9 38.5
Elijah Tucker Elijah Tucker F 7 2.9 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.3 -26 7 -3.7 -48.1 20.0 50.0 40.0 -3.84 28.7 25.0
Ian Sabourin Ian Sabourin F 2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.4 0 0
Michael Wolf Michael Wolf G 3 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 -3.06 0 0
Bradley Colbert Bradley Colbert G 4 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 -0.8 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -3.86 0.0 0.0
Bob Nunge Bob Nunge G 4 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.99 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2022-2023 Shot Zones

680 located field-goal attempts in 11 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Nunge28% Jones25% Boum38% Jones33% Jones40% Kunkel50% Boum43% Kunkel26% Kunkel47%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Nunge24% Jones22% Boum42% Boum38% Jones37% Kunkel30% Kunkel33% Boum45% Nunge30% Boum26%
Misses: who misses most here

Jack NungeColby JonesSouley BoumAdam Kunkel

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 133-221 60.2 266 Jack Nunge 28% (74 pts) Colby Jones 18% (48 pts) Jack Nunge 24% (21 misses) Colby Jones 18% (16 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 69-145 47.6 138 Colby Jones 25% (34 pts) Jerome Hunter 25% (34 pts) Colby Jones 22% (17 misses) Jack Nunge 18% (14 misses)
Mid-range left 21-45 46.7 42 Souley Boum 38% (16 pts) Colby Jones 19% (8 pts) Souley Boum 42% (10 misses) Adam Kunkel 21% (5 misses)
Mid-range center 9-22 40.9 18 Colby Jones 33% (6 pts) Jack Nunge 22% (4 pts) Souley Boum 38% (5 misses) Adam Kunkel 23% (3 misses)
Mid-range right 20-55 36.4 40 Colby Jones 40% (16 pts) Souley Boum 30% (12 pts) Colby Jones 37% (13 misses) Jack Nunge 17% (6 misses)
Left corner 3 4-14 28.6 12 Adam Kunkel 50% (6 pts) Colby Jones 25% (3 pts) Adam Kunkel 30% (3 misses) Colby Jones 30% (3 misses)
Right corner 3 0-3 0.0 0 - - Adam Kunkel 33% (1 misses) Colby Jones 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 23-61 37.7 69 Souley Boum 43% (30 pts) Adam Kunkel 39% (27 pts) Souley Boum 45% (17 misses) Adam Kunkel 32% (12 misses)
Above-break 3 center 23-60 38.3 69 Adam Kunkel 26% (18 pts) Jack Nunge 26% (18 pts) Jack Nunge 30% (11 misses) Souley Boum 22% (8 misses)
Above-break 3 right 15-54 27.8 45 Adam Kunkel 47% (21 pts) Souley Boum 27% (12 pts) Souley Boum 26% (10 misses) Colby Jones 21% (8 misses)