Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.4% | 23.6% | -6.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers -7 (64-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Roach * | 35 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Kyle Filipowski * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Mark Mitchell * | 31 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dereck Lively II * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jaylen Blakes | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Young | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Dariq Whitehead | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jacob Grandison | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Jones * | 39 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Souley Boum * | 37 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 12-12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Jack Nunge * | 33 | 1-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Zach Freemantle * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Adam Kunkel * | 18 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Desmond Claude | 23 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kyky Tandy | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Jerome Hunter | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dieonte Miles | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kam Craft | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter