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Wright State

Also known as: Wright State Raiders
Program History

2020 Team Stats (26 games)

80.5
PPG
70.1
Opp
+10.4
Margin
45.9%
FG%
36.0%
3P%
67.3%
FT%
39.0
RPG
14.3
APG
11.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.5
Adj PPG
71.5
Adj Opp PPG
#131
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1107 (#121) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1117 (#82) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More โ†’ 1103 (#60) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +2.7 (#134) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +1.9 (#140) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.789 (#33) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.6 More โ†’ 0.603 (#133) AdjNet +3.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.6 More โ†’ 0.603 (#133) AdjNet +3.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 71.5 More โ†’ 0.566 (#131) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 71.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 70.7 More โ†’ 0.579 (#105) AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 70.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.620 (#113) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.622 (#110) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1118 (#93) RD 102 | GP 30

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-05 vs Central State Marauders W 96 - 77
2019-11-09 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks W 88 - 81
2019-11-12 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 85 - 80
2019-11-16 vs Kent State Golden Flashes L 71 - 72
2019-11-20 vs Urbana Blue Knights W 88 - 51
2019-11-25 vs Weber State Wildcats W 72 - 57
2019-11-26 vs La Salle Explorers L 70 - 72
2019-11-27 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks W 71 - 66
2019-12-03 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 76 - 74
2019-12-07 vs Indiana State Sycamores L 77 - 84
2019-12-12 vs Southern Jaguars W 85 - 62
2019-12-17 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 92 - 50
2019-12-21 @ Toledo Rockets W 79 - 72
2019-12-28 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 90 - 84
2019-12-30 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 82 - 70
2020-01-03 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 96 - 69
2020-01-05 @ Detroit Mercy Titans W 70 - 69
2020-01-10 @ IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 84 - 70
2020-01-12 @ UIC Flames L 72 - 76
2020-01-16 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 75 - 62
2020-01-18 vs Youngstown State Penguins W 79 - 72
2020-01-24 vs Northern Kentucky Norse W 95 - 63
2020-01-31 @ Milwaukee Panthers W 65 - 61
2020-02-02 @ Green Bay Phoenix L 89 - 92
2020-02-06 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 98 - 86
2020-02-08 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 83 - 71
2020-02-14 vs UIC Flames W 75 - 58
2020-02-16 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 106 - 66
2020-02-20 @ Youngstown State Penguins L 70 - 88
2020-02-22 @ Cleveland State Vikings W 81 - 74
2020-02-28 @ Northern Kentucky Norse W 64 - 62
2020-03-09 vs UIC Flames L 56 - 73

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Billy Wampler Billy Wampler F 26 30.5 15.6 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.2 1.4 11.6 9.7 225 27 8.3 11.3 42.5 38.5 81.6 4.1 57.8 52.0
Loudon Love Loudon Love - 22 26.0 15.5 9.2 1.2 0.9 1.5 2.2 12.4 13.7 189 24 7.9 11.9 48.0 0 59.8 0.93 51.5 48.0
Tanner Holden Tanner Holden G 27 28.8 11.6 6.1 1.7 1.2 0.4 1.6 7.0 12.4 179 28 6.4 9.3 60.5 43.3 60.2 0.62 64.9 63.9
Cole Gentry Cole Gentry G 27 31.0 10.0 2.7 2.7 0.9 0.0 0.9 8.1 7.3 185 28 6.6 8.6 46.1 40.8 76.0 -0.44 58.7 57.3
Jaylon Hall Jaylon Hall F 27 28.2 7.9 3.2 2.9 1.2 0.4 2.3 6.4 6.9 176 28 6.3 9.4 36.4 36.1 86.6 0.79 52.8 45.1
Grant Basile Grant Basile F 27 15.5 6.9 4.9 0.8 0.4 1.0 1.6 5.1 7.3 26 28 0.9 2.8 50.0 11.1 69.1 -3.04 55.7 50.7
Skyelar Potter Skyelar Potter G 8 17.0 6.5 2.9 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 5.0 4.4 29 7 4.1 10.4 47.5 39.1 50.0 1.36 58.6 58.8
James Manns James Manns F 21 8.0 6.1 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 4.9 3.2 16 22 0.7 4.0 46.6 44.2 86.7 -1.14 58.4 55.8
Trey Calvin Trey Calvin G 27 19.1 5.0 2.2 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.6 5.7 3.0 83 28 3.0 6.9 32.0 26.7 64.7 -0.59 42.4 40.8
Jordan Ash Jordan Ash G 27 16.8 4.0 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.0 0.8 3.2 5.1 54 28 1.9 4.9 50.6 8.3 48.8 -2.41 51.9 51.1
Andy Neff Andy Neff F 8 3.0 1.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.8 -8 6 -1.3 -18.7 83.3 0 0 -2.73 83.3 83.3
TJ Nagy TJ Nagy G 8 2.6 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 -9 6 -1.5 -22.5 25.0 0.0 0.0 -2.73 17.4 25.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG