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Wright State Raiders

Also known as: Wright State Raiders
Program History

2022 Team Stats (9 games)

75.6
PPG
71.8
Opp
+3.7
Margin
45.8%
FG%
34.7%
3P%
76.7%
FT%
33.4
RPG
15.3
APG
14.4
TO
81.7
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1184 (#142) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1179 (#166) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1130 (#36) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +24.3 (#154) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +16.1 (#113) HCA +2.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -0.8 More → 0.479 (#131) NetEff -0.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 67.5 More → 0.666 (#59) AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 67.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.798 (#124) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.785 (#110) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 110 | GP 33 More → 1133 (#117) RD 110 | GP 33

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Lake Erie College Storm W 86 - 53
2021-11-12 @ Marshall Thundering Herd L 88 - 96
2021-11-16 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 52 - 96
2021-11-22 @ George Washington Colonials L 63 - 74
2021-11-23 @ James Madison Dukes L 76 - 78
2021-12-02 @ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 86 - 73
2021-12-04 @ Cleveland State Vikings L 75 - 85
2021-12-15 vs Akron Zips L 48 - 66
2021-12-18 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 72 - 63
2021-12-21 @ NC State Wolfpack W 84 - 70
2021-12-30 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 80 - 75
2022-01-01 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 72 - 69
2022-01-10 @ Northern Kentucky Norse - Preview
2022-01-13 @ Robert Morris Colonials W 75 - 73
2022-01-15 @ Youngstown State Penguins L 87 - 90
2022-01-20 @ IUPUI Jaguars W 73 - 45
2022-01-22 @ UIC Flames W 97 - 81
2022-01-25 @ Northern Kentucky Norse L 63 - 73
2022-01-28 vs Cleveland State Vikings L 67 - 71
2022-01-30 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 75 - 63
2022-02-04 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 90 - 59
2022-02-05 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 75 - 64
2022-02-09 @ Green Bay Phoenix W 79 - 62
2022-02-11 @ Milwaukee Panthers L 57 - 60
2022-02-13 vs Northern Kentucky Norse L 71 - 75
2022-02-18 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 78 - 74
2022-02-20 @ Detroit Mercy Titans L 75 - 80
2022-02-24 vs Youngstown State Penguins W 84 - 71
2022-02-26 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 71 - 61
2022-03-03 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 75 - 63
2022-03-07 @ Cleveland State Vikings W 82 - 67
2022-03-08 @ Northern Kentucky Norse W 72 - 71
2022-03-16 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 93 - 82
2022-03-18 @ Arizona Wildcats L 70 - 87

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Holden T. Holden - 33 35.4 19.9 7.3 2.7 1.4 0.2 2.5 5.1 23.7 - - - 55.0 53.8 83.7 1.19 156.6 57.1
G. Basile G. Basile - 9 32.1 18.4 6.8 1.8 1.1 1.7 3.9 15.1 10.8 140 3.9 4.8 50.0 29.7 73.1 1.05 56.3 54.0
T. Calvin T. Calvin - 31 34.5 14.5 3.3 3.5 1.6 0.2 2.0 5.2 15.7 - - - 41.0 34.4 80.0 0.67 128.6 47.5
T. Finke T. Finke - 33 36.2 8.8 5.2 2.8 0.9 0.4 1.7 3.0 13.5 116 3.3 3.8 37.0 35.7 78.6 0.57 137.1 47.0
AJ Braun AJ Braun F 25 14.6 5.3 2.9 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.7 6.6 38 1.4 3.5 61.9 0 54.2 0.09 126.5 61.9
J. Manns J. Manns F 2 3.5 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 1.5 21 1.9 15.6 60.0 50.0 0 0.27 80.0 80.0
Andrew Welage Andrew Welage G 31 14.7 3.9 1.8 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.8 1.2 5.2 130 3.8 9.4 48.6 36.4 70.0 0.97 146.1 59.5
K. Norris K. Norris G 33 24.5 3.3 2.0 1.8 0.6 0.0 0.9 1.1 5.8 34 0.9 1.5 33.3 35.7 80.0 -0.1 141.4 47.2
M. Beyers M. Beyers F 1 21.0 3.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 6.0 -78 -2.7 -5.0 33.3 50.0 0 -0.28 50.0 50.0
A. Huibregtse A. Huibregtse G 2 8.0 2.0 1.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 -0.02 53.2 0.0
CJ Wilbourn CJ Wilbourn - 30 8.1 2.0 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 2.9 -13 -0.4 -2.1 46.2 0.0 50.0 -0.54 212.5 46.2
A. Neff A. Neff - 9 5.0 1.1 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.2 23 2.1 15.5 0.0 0 75.0 0.33 181.2 0.0
TJ Nagy TJ Nagy G 2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
B. Noel B. Noel F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
R. Voss R. Voss F 3 5.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.0 -5 -0.6 -3.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.19 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG