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Wright State Raiders

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Wright State Raiders
Program History
Coach: Scott Nagy

2020 Team Stats (4 games)

73.5
PPG
61.8
Opp
+11.8
Margin
43.0%
FG%
28.8%
3P%
70.3%
FT%
37.5
RPG
12.5
APG
11.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.5
Adj PPG
71.5
Adj Opp PPG
#131
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1107 (#121) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1117 (#82) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More → 1103 (#60) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +2.7 (#134) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More → +1.9 (#140) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.789 (#33) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.6 More → 0.603 (#133) AdjNet +3.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.6 More → 0.603 (#133) AdjNet +3.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 71.5 More → 0.566 (#131) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 71.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 70.7 More → 0.579 (#105) AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 70.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.620 (#113) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.622 (#110) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 30 More → 1118 (#93) RD 102 | GP 30

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-05 vs Central State Marauders W 96 - 77
2019-11-09 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks W 88 - 81
2019-11-12 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 85 - 80
2019-11-16 vs Kent State Golden Flashes L 71 - 72
2019-11-20 vs Urbana Blue Knights W 88 - 51
2019-11-25 vs Weber State Wildcats W 72 - 57
2019-11-26 vs La Salle Explorers L 70 - 72
2019-11-27 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks W 71 - 66
2019-12-03 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 76 - 74
2019-12-07 vs Indiana State Sycamores L 77 - 84
2019-12-12 vs Southern Jaguars W 85 - 62
2019-12-17 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 92 - 50
2019-12-21 @ Toledo Rockets W 79 - 72
2019-12-28 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 90 - 84
2019-12-30 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 82 - 70
2020-01-03 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 96 - 69
2020-01-05 @ Detroit Mercy Titans W 70 - 69
2020-01-10 @ IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 84 - 70
2020-01-12 @ UIC Flames L 72 - 76
2020-01-16 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 75 - 62
2020-01-18 vs Youngstown State Penguins W 79 - 72
2020-01-24 vs Northern Kentucky Norse W 95 - 63
2020-01-31 @ Milwaukee Panthers W 65 - 61
2020-02-02 @ Green Bay Phoenix L 89 - 92
2020-02-06 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 98 - 86
2020-02-08 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 83 - 71
2020-02-14 vs UIC Flames W 75 - 58
2020-02-16 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 106 - 66
2020-02-20 @ Youngstown State Penguins L 70 - 88
2020-02-22 @ Cleveland State Vikings W 81 - 74
2020-02-28 @ Northern Kentucky Norse W 64 - 62
2020-03-09 vs UIC Flames L 56 - 73

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ayden Davis Ayden Davis - 2 28.0 21.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.5 0.0 21.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Loudon Love Loudon Love - 4 25.5 14.5 9.2 0.8 1.8 1.5 3.5 11.2 13.0 189 24 7.9 11.9 51.1 0 70.6 0.93 55.3 51.1
Billy Wampler Billy Wampler F 4 30.2 14.2 4.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.5 11.5 6.8 225 27 8.3 11.3 39.1 40.0 76.5 4.1 53.3 47.8
Tanner Holden Tanner Holden - 30 28.7 11.5 6.2 1.7 1.2 0.3 1.6 2.2 17.1 179 28 6.4 9.3 57.6 33.3 61.2 0.62 197.0 60.6
Grant Basile Grant Basile - 5 13.2 10.0 5.2 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.4 5.4 10.4 26 28 0.9 2.8 63.0 20.0 78.9 -3.04 70.7 64.8
Cole Gentry Cole Gentry G 5 30.6 7.6 3.2 2.0 0.8 0.0 1.0 8.2 4.4 185 28 6.6 8.6 34.1 25.0 62.5 -0.44 42.7 40.2
James Manns James Manns F 5 8.4 7.6 2.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 5.6 4.0 16 22 0.7 4.0 53.6 40.0 100.0 -1.14 62.0 57.1
Jaylon Hall Jaylon Hall F 5 28.0 5.0 3.2 3.0 1.2 1.0 2.6 4.8 6.0 176 28 6.3 9.4 25.0 13.3 100.0 0.79 43.3 29.2
Skyelar Potter Skyelar Potter - 1 26.0 5.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 6.0 29 7 4.1 10.4 33.3 0.0 50.0 1.36 36.3 33.3
CJ Wilbourn CJ Wilbourn - 1 19.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Trey Calvin Trey Calvin - 30 18.6 4.9 2.1 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.6 1.8 6.4 83 28 3.0 6.9 31.5 31.6 50.0 -0.59 130.9 42.6
Jordan Ash Jordan Ash G 5 18.4 4.2 3.4 1.6 1.0 0.0 0.6 2.8 6.8 54 28 1.9 4.9 57.1 0.0 55.6 -2.41 58.5 57.1
Andy Neff Andy Neff - 8 3.0 1.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.9 -8 6 -1.3 -18.7 80.0 0 0 -2.73 100.0 80.0
TJ Nagy TJ Nagy G 2 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -9 6 -1.5 -22.5 0 0 0 -2.73 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG