Wright State
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1136 (#92) | Preseason prior 1007 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1042, returning +19, transfers -21, freshmen -34 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1089 (#92) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1090 (#90) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +17.8 (#39) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +17.8 (#39) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.838 (#72) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.791 (#51) | AdjNet +24.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.785 (#54) | AdjNet +23.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.749 (#38) | AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 63.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.750 (#37) | AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 63.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.786 (#47) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.786 (#47) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1115 (#91) | RD 168 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.645 (#94) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Air Force Falcons | W | 102 - 71 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | Florida Atlantic Owls | W | 97 - 71 |
| 2026-11-10 | @ | Toledo Rockets | W | 76 - 68 |
| 2026-11-13 | @ | Samford Bulldogs | W | 90 - 66 |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | Malone Pioneers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Andrea Holden
|
G | 4 | 21.8 | 14.5 | 8.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 9.8 | 14.0 | 68 | 4 | 17.0 | 31.3 | 56.4 | 20.0 | 81.2 | 1.23 | 63.0 | 57.7 |
Kellen Pickett
|
F | 4 | 29.0 | 14.2 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 79 | 4 | 19.8 | 27.2 | 55.6 | 58.3 | 90.9 | 1.48 | 69.8 | 65.3 |
Dominic Pangonis
|
G | 4 | 26.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.2 | 10.8 | 42 | 4 | 10.5 | 16.3 | 64.0 | 57.1 | 80.0 | 0.82 | 82.3 | 80.0 |
Chadlyn Traylor
|
G | 3 | 26.7 | 11.3 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 8.7 | 7.7 | 72 | 3 | 24.0 | 35.9 | 53.8 | 22.2 | 100.0 | 1.05 | 61.2 | 57.7 |
Noah Lewis
|
F | 4 | 22.5 | 10.8 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 6.8 | 12.2 | 35 | 4 | 8.8 | 15.7 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 60.0 | 0.26 | 68.5 | 68.5 |
C.J. O'Hara
|
G | 4 | 27.2 | 10.8 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 8.0 | 8.8 | 60 | 4 | 15.0 | 22.2 | 46.9 | 22.2 | 78.6 | 0.74 | 56.3 | 50.0 |
Ilija Milijasevic
|
G | 4 | 22.8 | 10.2 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.8 | 8.0 | 49 | 4 | 12.2 | 21.9 | 41.9 | 45.8 | 80.0 | 0.61 | 61.7 | 59.7 |
Isaiah Williams
|
G | 4 | 15.8 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 5.8 | 18 | 4 | 4.5 | 11.4 | 70.0 | 0 | 83.3 | -0.09 | 75.2 | 70.0 |
Terrence Hayes Jr.
|
G | 3 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 24 | 3 | 8.0 | 37.3 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.77 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
PJ Douglas
|
G | 2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 6 | 2 | 3.0 | 57.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Nikola Djapa
|
C | 4 | 7.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 7 | 4 | 1.8 | 10.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | -0.36 | 47.0 | 50.0 |
Sam Johnson
|
F | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.21 | 0 | 0 |
Tahj Martin
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Landen Northrop
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Wright State players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Wright State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Smith | 2018-19 | NBA | Toronto Raptors | 2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11-12 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast | 2 GP, 0.0 PPG, 0.0 RPG, 0.0 APG |
| Tanner Holden | 2019-24 | G League | Salt Lake City Stars | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-11 0 pts, 2 reb, 0 ast Play-In | 1 GP, 0.0 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 0.0 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | Malachi Smith | NBA | Toronto Raptors | @ Philadelphia 76ers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Tanner Holden | G League Play-In | Salt Lake City Stars | vs Rip City Remix | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Malachi Smith | G League Play-In | Raptors 905 | vs Greensboro Swarm | 35 | 31 | 10 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-09 | Malachi Smith | NBA | Toronto Raptors | vs Memphis Grizzlies | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
238 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Kellen PickettAndrea HoldenIlija MilijasevicC.J. O'HaraChadlyn Traylor
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 60-81 | 74.1 | 120 | Andrea Holden 22% (26 pts) | Noah Lewis 20% (24 pts) | Andrea Holden 24% (5 misses) | Kellen Pickett 19% (4 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 32-57 | 56.1 | 64 | Andrea Holden 19% (12 pts) | C.J. O'Hara 12% (8 pts) | Andrea Holden 28% (7 misses) | Kellen Pickett 24% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-7 | 42.9 | 6 | Chadlyn Traylor 67% (4 pts) | Andrea Holden 33% (2 pts) | Andrea Holden 25% (1 misses) | C.J. O'Hara 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-7 | 14.3 | 2 | Chadlyn Traylor 100% (2 pts) | - | Ilija Milijasevic 33% (2 misses) | C.J. O'Hara 17% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 4-7 | 57.1 | 8 | Andrea Holden 25% (2 pts) | Chadlyn Traylor 25% (2 pts) | C.J. O'Hara 33% (1 misses) | Ilija Milijasevic 33% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 4-7 | 57.1 | 12 | C.J. O'Hara 25% (3 pts) | Chadlyn Traylor 25% (3 pts) | Chadlyn Traylor 33% (1 misses) | Dominic Pangonis 33% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 4-6 | 66.7 | 12 | C.J. O'Hara 25% (3 pts) | Dominic Pangonis 25% (3 pts) | Ilija Milijasevic 50% (1 misses) | Kellen Pickett 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 9-25 | 36.0 | 27 | Ilija Milijasevic 44% (12 pts) | Dominic Pangonis 33% (9 pts) | Chadlyn Traylor 31% (5 misses) | Ilija Milijasevic 25% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 9-18 | 50.0 | 27 | Kellen Pickett 33% (9 pts) | Dominic Pangonis 22% (6 pts) | Ilija Milijasevic 56% (5 misses) | Andrea Holden 11% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-23 | 30.4 | 21 | Ilija Milijasevic 43% (9 pts) | Kellen Pickett 43% (9 pts) | C.J. O'Hara 38% (6 misses) | Andrea Holden 19% (3 misses) |