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Wm. Paterson

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Wm. Paterson
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 829 (#591) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 865 (#540) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 833 (#736) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -13.9 (#300) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -17.4 (#648) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.235 (#638) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.0 More → 0.124 (#611) AdjNet -17.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.3 More → 0.118 (#613) AdjNet -17.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 82.1 More → 0.230 (#624) AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 82.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 75.0 More → 0.271 (#693) AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 75.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.194 (#665) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.195 (#682) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 22 More → 762 (#577) RD 104 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-10 vs St. Joseph's (L.I.) W 88 - 75
2025-11-12 vs York (NY) W 71 - 55
2025-11-14 vs Cairn W 74 - 72
2025-11-19 vs Brooklyn W 74 - 64
2025-11-22 @ FDU-Florham L 67 - 75
2025-11-25 @ TCNJ L 68 - 85
2025-12-03 @ Montclair St. L 75 - 102
2025-12-06 vs Stockton L 76 - 83
2025-12-10 @ Rutgers-Newark W 68 - 56
2025-12-13 vs Rowan L 70 - 71
2025-12-16 @ UMSV W 87 - 78
2025-12-18 @ Old Westbury L 66 - 70
2026-01-07 @ Kean L 62 - 73
2026-01-10 vs New Jersey City L 58 - 75
2026-01-14 vs Ramapo L 51 - 60
2026-01-17 @ Rutgers-Camden L 65 - 75
2026-01-21 vs TCNJ L 51 - 74
2026-01-24 @ Stockton L 56 - 77
2026-01-28 vs Montclair St. L 82 - 96
2026-01-31 @ Rowan L 51 - 77
2026-02-04 vs Rutgers-Newark W 65 - 63
2026-02-07 @ New Jersey City L 56 - 83

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jack Gobel - 21 31.6 14.9 2.7 1.2 1.4 0.4 1.5 12.6 6.4 78 3.7 24.1 39.6 36.3 78.4 3.23 52.6 48.1
Fred Orock Jr. - 14 20.1 9.8 5.4 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 6.3 10.4 52 3.7 67.0 62.5 0.0 56.2 -0.08 62.8 62.5
Ethan Paul - 22 21.7 9.1 4.9 1.4 0.9 0.8 1.6 6.7 8.7 -4 -0.2 -1.4 49.3 40.9 51.7 0.16 53.7 52.4
Cam Reyes - 7 15.9 7.6 4.9 0.6 1.1 0.4 2.3 6.3 6.0 18 2.6 44.5 50.0 33.3 70.0 1.41 54.8 52.3
Delani Hyde - 21 19.6 7.5 4.6 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.7 6.7 6.0 33 1.6 11.5 50.7 31.6 39.1 2.19 52.3 52.9
Jianni Moran - 20 18.3 6.7 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.1 1.6 6.5 2.2 -1 -0.0 -0.4 34.1 30.3 73.5 -3.59 46.2 41.9
Ty'Shawn Pearson - 22 21.4 5.6 3.0 2.6 1.3 0.2 3.2 6.2 3.3 8 0.4 4.4 35.0 9.5 49.1 -1.01 38.7 35.8
Nahsir Merrick - 20 25.6 4.0 3.8 2.0 1.4 0.9 1.2 3.9 7.2 54 2.6 19.4 45.5 13.6 53.3 1.1 48.4 47.4
Demond Kinchen Jr. - 21 12.0 3.7 2.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.5 3.0 3.3 25 1.2 20.1 42.9 33.3 61.3 -3.34 50.9 46.8
Josiah Carey - 21 17.3 3.1 1.6 2.6 0.7 0.0 2.5 3.8 1.8 6 0.3 3.0 26.6 23.1 75.0 -1.42 37.6 32.3
Christian Gilmore - 19 9.8 2.2 2.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.0 - - - 44.4 25.0 77.8 - 52.6 48.6
Londen Pope - 12 4.4 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.2 1.0 1.1 1.3 8 0.8 18.0 46.2 16.7 64.3 0.14 57.4 50.0
Charles Graves - 18 3.7 1.3 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.2 0 0.0 0.0 28.6 9.1 71.4 -0.91 42.3 31.0
Mingo Mason - 8 2.3 1.2 0.9 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.9 1.9 1 0.1 5.1 57.1 50.0 50.0 -0.03 63.5 64.3
Adrian Rozon - 8 3.4 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.8 -0.2 5 0.8 18.2 21.4 16.7 33.3 1.08 29.4 28.6
Skylar Ellis - 11 3.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.0 2 0.2 8.9 25.0 25.0 0 -1.03 37.5 37.5
Patrick Liggins - 9 2.8 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 2 0.3 13.3 0.0 0.0 75.0 0.91 26.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG