Wittenberg Tigers
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1046 (#188) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1117 (#112) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1077 (#122) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.1 (#82) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.4 (#328) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.578 (#419) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.841 (#18) | NetEff +18.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.504 (#351) | AdjNet +0.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.498 (#350) | AdjNet -0.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.504 (#349) | AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 68.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.593 (#225) | AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 62.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.614 (#301) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.618 (#303) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1175 (#83) | RD 99 | GP 21 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-19 | vs | Hendrix | L | 78 - 80 |
| 2021-11-20 | @ | La Roche | L | 83 - 89 |
| 2021-11-23 | @ | Hanover | L | 69 - 76 |
| 2021-11-30 | vs | Wilmington (OH) | W | 64 - 57 |
| 2021-12-04 | @ | Hiram | W | 79 - 72 |
| 2021-12-08 | vs | DePauw | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2021-12-11 | @ | Wabash | L | 73 - 101 |
| 2021-12-20 | vs | Juniata | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2021-12-21 | vs | Albion | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2021-12-30 | @ | Mt. St. Joseph | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2022-01-03 | vs | Oberlin | W | 77 - 75 |
| 2022-01-15 | @ | Wooster | L | 80 - 83 |
| 2022-01-17 | vs | Denison | L | 55 - 69 |
| 2022-01-19 | @ | Ohio Wesleyan | W | 77 - 71 |
| 2022-01-22 | vs | Hiram | W | 84 - 54 |
| 2022-01-26 | vs | Wabash | L | 69 - 87 |
| 2022-01-29 | @ | Oberlin | W | 64 - 60 |
| 2022-02-02 | @ | Denison | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2022-02-05 | vs | Kenyon | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-06 | @ | Kenyon | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-09 | @ | DePauw | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-12 | @ | Allegheny | W | 75 - 71 |
| 2022-02-16 | vs | Ohio Wesleyan | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2022-02-19 | vs | Wooster | L | 57 - 77 |
| 2022-02-22 | vs | Denison | L | 58 - 62 |
2022 Roster
No roster data available for this season.