Wittenberg Tigers
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2021 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1046 (#188) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1117 (#112) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1077 (#122) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.1 (#82) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.4 (#328) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.578 (#419) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.841 (#18) | NetEff +18.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.504 (#351) | AdjNet +0.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.498 (#350) | AdjNet -0.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.504 (#349) | AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 68.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.593 (#225) | AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 62.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.614 (#301) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.618 (#303) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1175 (#83) | RD 99 | GP 21 |
2021 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-05 | @ | Wooster | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2021-02-06 | vs | Wooster | L | 78 - 81 |
| 2021-02-13 | @ | Wabash | L | 65 - 94 |
| 2021-02-14 | vs | Wabash | L | 74 - 76 |
| 2021-02-18 | vs | Ohio Wesleyan | L | 53 - 66 |
| 2021-02-20 | @ | Ohio Wesleyan | L | 48 - 58 |
| 2021-02-25 | @ | DePauw | L | 45 - 76 |
| 2021-02-27 | vs | DePauw | L | 53 - 76 |
| 2021-03-04 | @ | Denison | W | 89 - 88 |
| 2021-03-06 | vs | Denison | L | 52 - 71 |
2021 Roster
No roster data available for this season.