Wisconsin
Model Outputs
2005-2006
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1023 (#145) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1001 (#158) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 949 (#227) | HCA +87 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +8.2 (#83) | HCA +3.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +7.6 (#84) | HCA +3.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.475 (#174) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.798 (#83) | AdjNet +11.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.804 (#83) | AdjNet +12.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.651 (#86) | AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 60.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.548 (#119) | AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 62.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.632 (#101) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.612 (#104) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1003 (#161) | RD 159 | GP 29 |
2006 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005-11-18 | vs | Houston Cougars | W | 77 - 54 |
| 2005-11-20 | vs | Cleveland State Vikings | W | 84 - 59 |
| 2005-11-25 | @ | Idaho State Bengals | W | 85 - 73 |
| 2005-11-26 | @ | Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | W | 77 - 67 |
| 2005-11-27 | @ | DePaul Blue Demons | L | 57 - 76 |
| 2005-12-02 | vs | Marquette Golden Eagles | L | 59 - 71 |
| 2005-12-04 | vs | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | L | 72 - 77 |
| 2005-12-08 | vs | South Dakota State Jackrabbits | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2005-12-11 | @ | Kansas Jayhawks | L | 87 - 90 |
| 2005-12-14 | @ | Milwaukee Panthers | W | 72 - 57 |
| 2005-12-23 | vs | Western Illinois Leathernecks | L | 61 - 70 |
| 2005-12-29 | @ | Purdue Boilermakers | L | 57 - 77 |
| 2006-01-01 | vs | Northwestern Wildcats | W | 74 - 45 |
| 2006-01-05 | @ | Minnesota Golden Gophers | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2006-01-08 | @ | Penn State Lady Lions | L | 54 - 69 |
| 2006-01-12 | vs | Michigan State Spartans | L | 63 - 69 |
| 2006-01-15 | vs | Illinois Fighting Illini | L | 54 - 84 |
| 2006-01-19 | vs | Iowa Hawkeyes | L | 59 - 68 |
| 2006-01-23 | vs | Eastern Illinois Panthers | W | 75 - 48 |
| 2006-01-26 | @ | Ohio State Buckeyes | L | 46 - 73 |
| 2006-01-29 | @ | Michigan Wolverines | W | 75 - 65 |
| 2006-02-02 | vs | Indiana Hoosiers | L | 64 - 71 |
| 2006-02-05 | @ | Northwestern Wildcats | L | 56 - 58 |
| 2006-02-09 | @ | Illinois Fighting Illini | W | 66 - 61 |
| 2006-02-12 | @ | Michigan State Spartans | L | 47 - 53 |
| 2006-02-16 | vs | Penn State Lady Lions | W | 66 - 56 |
| 2006-02-19 | vs | Minnesota Golden Gophers | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2006-02-26 | vs | Purdue Boilermakers | L | 63 - 66 |
| 2006-03-02 | @ | Penn State Lady Lions | L | 73 - 80 |
2006 Roster
No roster data available for this season.