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Wisconsin

Also known as: Wisconsin Badgers
Program History

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1023 (#145) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1001 (#158) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +87 elo More โ†’ 949 (#227) HCA +87 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +8.2 (#83) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +7.6 (#84) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.475 (#174) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.9 More โ†’ 0.798 (#83) AdjNet +11.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.2 More โ†’ 0.804 (#83) AdjNet +12.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 60.8 More โ†’ 0.651 (#86) AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 60.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 62.1 More โ†’ 0.548 (#119) AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 62.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.632 (#101) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.612 (#104) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 159 | GP 29 More โ†’ 1003 (#161) RD 159 | GP 29

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-18 vs Houston Cougars W 77 - 54
2005-11-20 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 84 - 59
2005-11-25 @ Idaho State Bengals W 85 - 73
2005-11-26 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine W 77 - 67
2005-11-27 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 57 - 76
2005-12-02 vs Marquette Golden Eagles L 59 - 71
2005-12-04 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 72 - 77
2005-12-08 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 65 - 68
2005-12-11 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 87 - 90
2005-12-14 @ Milwaukee Panthers W 72 - 57
2005-12-23 vs Western Illinois Leathernecks L 61 - 70
2005-12-29 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 57 - 77
2006-01-01 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 74 - 45
2006-01-05 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 67 - 73
2006-01-08 @ Penn State Lady Lions L 54 - 69
2006-01-12 vs Michigan State Spartans L 63 - 69
2006-01-15 vs Illinois Fighting Illini L 54 - 84
2006-01-19 vs Iowa Hawkeyes L 59 - 68
2006-01-23 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 75 - 48
2006-01-26 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 46 - 73
2006-01-29 @ Michigan Wolverines W 75 - 65
2006-02-02 vs Indiana Hoosiers L 64 - 71
2006-02-05 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 56 - 58
2006-02-09 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 66 - 61
2006-02-12 @ Michigan State Spartans L 47 - 53
2006-02-16 vs Penn State Lady Lions W 66 - 56
2006-02-19 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 67 - 61
2006-02-26 vs Purdue Boilermakers L 63 - 66
2006-03-02 @ Penn State Lady Lions L 73 - 80

2006 Roster

No roster data available for this season.