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Wisconsin

Also known as: Wisconsin Badgers, Wisconsin
Program History

Model Outputs

1994-1995
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1141 (#84) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1054 (#117) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 951 (#209) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.5 More โ†’ +7.6 (#82) HCA +3.5
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +5.3 (#99) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.553 (#132) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.2 More โ†’ 0.785 (#79) AdjNet +11.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.4 More โ†’ 0.788 (#79) AdjNet +11.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 67.6 More โ†’ 0.647 (#85) AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 67.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 70.7 More โ†’ 0.536 (#120) AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 70.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.613 (#101) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.591 (#107) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 127 | GP 27 More โ†’ 1053 (#118) RD 127 | GP 27

1995 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1994-11-26 vs Wright State W 86 - 63
1994-11-30 vs Green Bay W 61 - 57
1994-12-03 vs Texas Tech W 70 - 65
1994-12-06 vs Valparaiso W 69 - 51
1994-12-10 @ Eastern Michigan L 76 - 92
1994-12-14 vs Milwaukee W 90 - 64
1994-12-23 vs Loyola Marymount W 75 - 60
1994-12-27 @ Stanford L 78 - 95
1994-12-31 @ Marquette L 65 - 80
1995-01-04 vs Michigan State L 64 - 78
1995-01-07 @ Indiana L 70 - 73
1995-01-11 @ Ohio State W 81 - 59
1995-01-14 vs Minnesota W 74 - 67
1995-01-21 @ Iowa L 84 - 96
1995-01-26 vs Penn State L 67 - 78
1995-01-28 vs Northwestern W 97 - 73
1995-02-01 @ Michigan L 58 - 62
1995-02-04 vs Illinois W 73 - 60
1995-02-11 vs Michigan W 70 - 65
1995-02-15 @ Northwestern W 70 - 56
1995-02-19 @ Penn State L 67 - 74
1995-02-22 vs Iowa L 77 - 84
1995-02-26 @ Purdue L 56 - 66
1995-02-28 @ Minnesota L 70 - 78
1995-03-04 vs Ohio State W 80 - 69
1995-03-08 vs Indiana L 70 - 72
1995-03-11 @ Michigan State L 72 - 97

1995 Roster

No roster data available for this season.