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Wisconsin Badgers

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Also known as: Wisconsin Badgers
Program History

2012 Team Stats (8 games)

56.4
PPG
71.4
Opp
-15.0
Margin
38.2%
FG%
33.6%
3P%
79.5%
FT%
29.8
RPG
10.5
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
61.0
Adj PPG
58.2
Adj Opp PPG
#118
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1013 (#154) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 974 (#178) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +78 elo More → 924 (#268) HCA +78 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +4.1 (#106) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → +3.0 (#117) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.211 (#275) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.5 More → 0.653 (#112) AdjNet +5.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.9 More → 0.664 (#111) AdjNet +5.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 58.2 More → 0.564 (#118) AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 58.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.0 | AdjD 61.4 More → 0.446 (#201) AdjO 59.0 | AdjD 61.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.528 (#150) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.505 (#157) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 161 | GP 29 More → 976 (#177) RD 161 | GP 29

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 @ Milwaukee Panthers W 68 - 51
2011-11-13 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles L 63 - 80
2011-11-15 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 52 - 54
2011-11-18 vs Washington State Cougars L 51 - 69
2011-11-23 @ BYU Cougars L 59 - 77
2011-11-25 vs Montana State Bobcats W 71 - 61
2011-11-26 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 48 - 58
2011-11-30 vs Boston College Eagles W 58 - 50
2011-12-05 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 48 - 46
2011-12-08 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 44 - 73
2011-12-11 vs Drake Bulldogs L 54 - 65
2011-12-23 vs Green Bay Phoenix L 49 - 65
2011-12-30 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 61 - 77
2012-01-02 vs Penn State Lady Lions L 49 - 82
2012-01-05 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 52 - 63
2012-01-08 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 70 - 67
2012-01-12 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers L 69 - 75
2012-01-19 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 57 - 69
2012-01-22 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 75 - 55
2012-01-26 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 78 - 72
2012-01-30 vs Michigan Wolverines W 66 - 60
2012-02-02 vs Iowa Hawkeyes L 79 - 85
2012-02-06 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 58 - 72
2012-02-09 @ Penn State Lady Lions L 54 - 69
2012-02-16 vs Michigan State Spartans L 46 - 62
2012-02-19 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 59 - 68
2012-02-23 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 60 - 62
2012-02-26 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 72 - 60
2012-03-01 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 49 - 81

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Wurtz T. Wurtz G 8 0.0 14.0 6.4 2.0 0.9 0.2 1.6 13.0 8.9 -109 23 -4.7 -5.8 41.3 40.9 66.7 1.76 51.2 50.0
A. Covington A. Covington NA 6 0.0 10.2 5.8 1.5 0.3 1.0 2.5 9.5 6.8 -40 21 -1.9 -3.2 47.4 0.0 87.5 2.93 50.4 47.4
M. Paige M. Paige G 8 0.0 9.2 2.1 0.9 0.6 0.0 2.9 8.9 1.1 -118 23 -5.1 -7.8 33.8 31.6 73.7 -0.74 46.6 42.3
J. Davis J. Davis NA 8 0.0 7.8 2.9 3.0 1.5 0.0 4.0 7.6 3.5 -124 23 -5.4 -7.0 34.4 35.7 100.0 0.28 47.4 42.6
A. Thomas A. Thomas NA 8 0.0 3.9 3.0 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.8 4.1 2.4 -137 23 -6.0 -9.7 36.4 0 58.3 -3.81 40.5 36.4
H. Olawoye H. Olawoye F 1 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 -8 19 -0.4 -2.1 50.0 50.0 0 1.9 75.0 75.0
C. Rochel C. Rochel F 1 0.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 -53 22 -2.4 -6.9 33.3 0 0 -0.12 33.3 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG