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Wisconsin

Also known as: Wisconsin Badgers, Wisconsin
Program History

2018 Team Stats (5 games)

58.2
PPG
67.8
Opp
-9.6
Margin
39.2%
FG%
23.2%
3P%
76.8%
FT%
31.2
RPG
10.0
APG
11.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.2
Adj PPG
60.9
Adj Opp PPG
#70
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1195 (#69) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1056 (#132) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 1009 (#161) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +9.3 (#68) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +10.4 (#53) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.538 (#145) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.9 More โ†’ 0.832 (#66) AdjNet +13.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.1 More โ†’ 0.836 (#65) AdjNet +14.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 60.9 More โ†’ 0.681 (#70) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 60.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 62.9 More โ†’ 0.608 (#79) AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 62.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.706 (#71) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.693 (#74) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1093 (#107) RD 150 | GP 33

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 85 - 50
2017-11-12 vs Yale Bulldogs W 89 - 61
2017-11-16 vs Xavier Musketeers L 70 - 80
2017-11-20 vs Baylor Bears L 65 - 70
2017-11-21 @ UCLA Bruins L 70 - 72
2017-11-24 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 71 - 49
2017-11-27 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 37 - 49
2017-12-02 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 58 - 83
2017-12-04 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 64 - 63
2017-12-06 @ Temple Owls L 55 - 59
2017-12-09 vs Marquette Golden Eagles L 63 - 82
2017-12-13 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 81 - 80
2017-12-23 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 81 - 60
2017-12-27 vs Chicago State Cougars W 82 - 70
2017-12-30 vs UMass Lowell River Hawks W 82 - 53
2018-01-02 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 71 - 61
2018-01-05 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 60 - 64
2018-01-09 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 59 - 63
2018-01-16 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 50 - 78
2018-01-19 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 75 - 50
2018-01-23 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 67 - 85
2018-01-26 @ Michigan State Spartans L 61 - 76
2018-01-29 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers L 63 - 74
2018-02-01 vs Northwestern Wildcats L 52 - 60
2018-02-04 @ Maryland Terrapins L 63 - 68
2018-02-08 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 78 - 69
2018-02-11 vs Michigan Wolverines L 72 - 83
2018-02-15 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 57 - 53
2018-02-19 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 73 - 63
2018-02-22 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 70 - 64
2018-02-25 vs Michigan State Spartans L 63 - 68
2018-03-01 @ Maryland Terrapins W 59 - 54
2018-03-02 @ Michigan State Spartans L 60 - 63

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ethan Happ Ethan Happ F 30 30.5 17.5 8.1 3.8 1.4 1.0 2.8 5.0 24.0 44 27 1.6 2.3 48.3 0.0 54.8 4.23 148.9 48.3
Brad Davison Brad Davison G 30 30.9 12.1 2.4 2.4 1.3 0.0 1.8 4.0 12.4 27 27 1.0 1.4 40.8 30.2 93.0 2.18 130.7 48.8
D'Mitrik Trice D'Mitrik Trice G 10 31.5 9.4 2.0 2.3 0.6 0.1 1.3 1.0 12.1 - - - - 30.0 16.7 100.0 - 432.0 35.0
Brevin Pritzl Brevin Pritzl G 29 28.6 8.7 4.0 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.6 3.2 11.1 28 26 1.1 1.7 37.0 27.8 81.8 -0.25 123.9 45.1
Khalil Iverson Khalil Iverson G 30 29.9 8.6 5.1 1.7 0.8 0.9 2.1 2.0 13.0 9 27 0.3 0.5 51.7 0.0 72.4 0.88 178.0 51.7
Aleem Ford Aleem Ford - 30 24.5 6.2 2.9 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.7 1.6 8.1 -17 27 -0.6 -1.2 31.2 33.3 93.3 -1.24 169.4 44.8
Nate Reuvers Nate Reuvers F 25 17.0 5.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.8 1.0 2.4 5.8 0 23 0.0 0.0 41.7 29.2 75.0 1.22 107.1 47.5
Kobe King Kobe King - 10 19.0 5.2 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 6.5 - - - - 50.0 40.0 0 - 325.0 62.5
Andy Van Vliet Andy Van Vliet F 15 7.0 2.7 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 4.0 26 12 2.2 13.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.3 512.5 0.0
Charles Thomas Charles Thomas F 20 6.2 1.3 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 2.5 3 18 0.2 1.3 33.3 0.0 0.0 0.19 137.7 33.3
Aaron Moesch Aaron Moesch F 22 6.0 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.9 -19 18 -1.1 -6.4 100.0 0 75.0 -3.78 452.9 100.0
T.J. Schlundt T.J. Schlundt G 21 8.5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.7 13 20 0.7 3.2 14.3 0.0 0 0.55 135.7 14.3
Alex Illikainen Alex Illikainen F 23 7.3 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.7 23 16 1.4 7.1 50.0 60.0 0 1.78 106.2 68.8
Walt McGrory Walt McGrory G 9 8.0 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.8 0.1 1.4 4 5 0.8 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1.1 173.6 0.0
Matt Ferris Matt Ferris G 6 1.3 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.3 -1 6 -0.2 -5.4 100.0 0 0 -0.87 100.0 100.0
Michael Ballard Michael Ballard G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG