Wis.-Parkside
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 998 (#274) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1092 (#101) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 980 (#499) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +18.6 (#27) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.4 (#194) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.690 (#292) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.759 (#207) | NetEff +8.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.960 (#136) | AdjNet +27.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.964 (#138) | AdjNet +28.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.842 (#131) | AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 59.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.651 (#121) | AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 61.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.712 (#165) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.694 (#182) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 970 (#281) | RD 97 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | @ | Saint Martin's | W | 66 - 47 |
| 2025-11-02 | @ | Western Wash. | L | 49 - 54 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Maryville (MO) | L | 61 - 65 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Mo.-St. Louis | W | 82 - 73 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Lewis | W | 55 - 50 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Minnesota St. | L | 73 - 85 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Northern Mich. | L | 48 - 56 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Michigan Tech | L | 60 - 65 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Ill. Springfield | W | 81 - 72 |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | Roosevelt | L | 68 - 69 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Saginaw Valley | W | 79 - 66 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Wayne St. (MI) | L | 88 - 95 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Purdue Northwest | W | 92 - 46 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Grand Valley St. | L | 47 - 66 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Davenport | W | 76 - 58 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Saginaw Valley | W | 75 - 61 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Lake Superior St. | W | 62 - 52 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Roosevelt | L | 53 - 59 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Ferris St. | L | 69 - 82 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassidy Arni | - | 19 | 27.4 | 14.4 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 3.3 | 11.1 | 10.5 | 66 | 3.0 | 9.9 | 45.5 | 22.0 | 66.3 | 1.88 | 53.4 | 48.6 |
| Katie Hamill | - | 19 | 32.5 | 13.6 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 11.8 | 9.5 | 59 | 2.7 | 8.2 | 41.1 | 35.4 | 93.0 | 2.43 | 53.1 | 48.7 |
| Lillie Petersen | - | 19 | 29.6 | 10.7 | 7.4 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 8.8 | 11.7 | 133 | 6.0 | 16.2 | 44.6 | 27.9 | 84.1 | 3.31 | 54.4 | 49.7 |
| Peighton Nelson | - | 19 | 32.6 | 7.4 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 3.6 | 7.3 | 6.5 | 82 | 3.7 | 10.3 | 37.4 | 18.4 | 73.2 | 0.34 | 44.9 | 39.9 |
| Jaelyn Derlein | - | 15 | 25.4 | 7.2 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 7.3 | 2.5 | -13 | -0.8 | -4.1 | 34.9 | 32.9 | 66.7 | -3.97 | 47.8 | 46.8 |
| Lexi Bugajski | - | 19 | 25.8 | 6.2 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 6.4 | 6.1 | 40 | 2.0 | 5.8 | 37.2 | 27.3 | 72.2 | 0.89 | 45.8 | 43.4 |
| Emily Giese | - | 1 | 6.5 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 80.0 | - | 57.7 | 33.3 |
| Alli Hampel | - | 19 | 17.3 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 41 | 1.9 | 9.1 | 46.4 | 34.8 | 68.8 | -0.96 | 55.1 | 51.2 |
| Nakiyah Hurst | - | 12 | 6.0 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 1.2 | -10 | -0.8 | -13.0 | 34.9 | 20.8 | 100.0 | -0.68 | 44.2 | 40.7 |
| Addison Stallings | - | 1 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Sara Abdul | - | 2 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -9 | -2.2 | -337.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.02 | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| Harley Wock | - | 13 | 10.5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 42 | 3.5 | 17.2 | 45.0 | 0 | 60.0 | 2.57 | 47.3 | 45.0 |
| Brooklyn Ficek | - | 3 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | -1.0 | 1 | 0.2 | 25.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Elyse Wendler | - | 4 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Samantha Hafferkamp | - | 2 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -8 | -2.0 | -300.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.02 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG