Wis.-Parkside
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 952 (#185) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1018 (#156) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 947 (#487) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.7 (#129) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.4 (#269) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.595 (#129) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.995 (#65) | NetEff +51.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.879 (#51) | AdjNet +17.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.883 (#53) | AdjNet +17.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.769 (#50) | AdjO 78.0 | AdjD 64.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.509 (#280) | AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 73.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.560 (#275) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.541 (#279) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 982 (#248) | RD 89 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Upper Iowa | L | 69 - 78 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Ill. Springfield | W | 95 - 77 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Bethel (MN) | W | 95 - 61 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Winona St. | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Northern Mich. | L | 78 - 82 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Michigan Tech | L | 54 - 69 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Mo.-St. Louis | L | 56 - 61 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | UIndy | W | 83 - 81 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Lewis | W | 73 - 54 |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | Roosevelt | W | 77 - 74 |
| 2026-01-05 | @ | Ferris St. | L | 72 - 74 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Lake Superior St. | W | 79 - 72 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Saginaw Valley | W | 87 - 81 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Wayne St. (MI) | L | 78 - 82 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Purdue Northwest | L | 61 - 82 |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | Edgewood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Grand Valley St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Davenport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Saginaw Valley | L | 77 - 85 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Lake Superior St. | L | 65 - 106 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Roosevelt | L | 70 - 80 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Ferris St. | W | 82 - 63 |
| 2026-02-12 | @ | Davenport | W | 77 - 71 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Grand Valley St. | L | 57 - 73 |
| 2026-02-19 | vs | Purdue Northwest | L | 70 - 78 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Wayne St. (MI) | W | 77 - 66 |
| 2026-02-26 | @ | Michigan Tech | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ | Northern Mich. | L | 75 - 98 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paxton Warden | - | 26 | 32.8 | 18.7 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 13.7 | 10.0 | -61 | 23 | -2.7 | -3.5 | 45.5 | 34.4 | 70.9 | 0.25 | 56.7 | 51.8 |
| Luka Mateski | - | 25 | 28.9 | 16.7 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 9.8 | 11.6 | -35 | 24 | -1.5 | -2.2 | 45.3 | 25.5 | 87.4 | 1.73 | 62.0 | 48.2 |
| Josiah Palmer | - | 24 | 28.9 | 11.8 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 9.0 | 6.9 | 22 | 22 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 41.9 | 39.1 | 86.0 | 2.24 | 59.4 | 55.5 |
| Fawaz Surakat | - | 27 | 24.6 | 7.3 | 7.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4.6 | 12.1 | 9 | 24 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 61.3 | 0.0 | 51.1 | 3.27 | 60.5 | 61.3 |
| Logan Zahour | - | 18 | 12.7 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.4 | 3.5 | -19 | 13 | -1.5 | -5.9 | 36.2 | 33.3 | 86.4 | -1.96 | 51.9 | 46.2 |
| Ethan Ivan | - | 26 | 20.3 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 3.5 | -63 | 24 | -2.6 | -5.5 | 43.0 | 38.4 | 63.6 | -2.55 | 57.7 | 57.0 |
| Jake Dunham | - | 10 | 9.4 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 3.5 | -2 | 5 | -0.4 | -1.4 | 65.2 | 50.0 | 87.5 | -0.3 | 79.2 | 76.1 |
| Braden McGlothlin | - | 26 | 22.2 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 5.1 | -65 | 24 | -2.7 | -5.3 | 33.3 | 31.8 | 60.0 | -2.04 | 45.6 | 43.6 |
| Zach Behn | - | 23 | 14.2 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 3.0 | -28 | 19 | -1.5 | -4.9 | 33.3 | 26.7 | 80.0 | -2.68 | 46.5 | 41.3 |
| Jack Rose | - | 21 | 14.5 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 3.6 | 2.0 | -49 | 18 | -2.7 | -8.2 | 31.6 | 26.0 | 81.8 | -1.97 | 43.3 | 40.1 |
| Andrew Soenksen | - | 12 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 3 | 8 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 41.9 | 33.3 | 61.5 | -0.31 | 51.7 | 48.4 |
| Raphael Nagau Trouart | - | 19 | 14.0 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 3.4 | -61 | 18 | -3.4 | -10.8 | 54.2 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -2.95 | 51.6 | 54.2 |
| Hudson Kirby | - | 3 | 8.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -1.46 | 35.9 | 25.0 |
| Matas Castillo | - | 12 | 6.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | -31 | 12 | -2.6 | -23.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -5.33 | 46.3 | 25.0 |
| Alex Daniels | - | 5 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 46.2 | 0.07 | 34.4 | 0.0 |
| Liam Lubkeman | - | 2 | 9.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.98 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Sam Lootens | - | 7 | 5.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.26 | 31.2 | 31.2 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG