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Wis.-Parkside

Also known as: Wis.-Parkside
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1014 (#170) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1061 (#149) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 947 (#487) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +10.6 (#94) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +3.4 (#269) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.595 (#289) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +51.5 More → 0.995 (#70) NetEff +51.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.2 More → 0.879 (#159) AdjNet +17.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.3 More → 0.883 (#161) AdjNet +17.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.0 | AdjD 64.8 More → 0.769 (#154) AdjO 78.0 | AdjD 64.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 73.1 More → 0.509 (#280) AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 73.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.560 (#275) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.541 (#279) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 89 | GP 23 More → 984 (#237) RD 89 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Upper Iowa L 69 - 78
2025-11-15 vs Ill. Springfield W 95 - 77
2025-11-18 vs Bethel (MN) W 95 - 61
2025-11-22 vs Winona St. W 77 - 70
2025-12-04 vs Northern Mich. L 78 - 82
2025-12-06 vs Michigan Tech L 54 - 69
2025-12-13 @ Mo.-St. Louis L 56 - 61
2025-12-13 @ Michigan Tech L 41 - 79
2025-12-16 vs UIndy W 83 - 81
2025-12-20 @ Lewis W 73 - 54
2026-01-01 vs Roosevelt W 77 - 74
2026-01-05 @ Ferris St. L 72 - 74
2026-01-08 vs Lake Superior St. W 79 - 72
2026-01-10 vs Saginaw Valley W 87 - 81
2026-01-15 @ Wayne St. (MI) L 78 - 82
2026-01-17 @ Purdue Northwest L 61 - 82
2026-01-19 vs Edgewood W 95 - 75
2026-01-22 vs Grand Valley St. L 67 - 77
2026-01-24 vs Davenport L 54 - 68
2026-01-29 @ Saginaw Valley L 77 - 85
2026-01-31 @ Lake Superior St. L 65 - 106
2026-02-05 @ Roosevelt L 70 - 80
2026-02-07 vs Ferris St. W 82 - 63

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Paxton Warden - 19 33.2 18.6 4.2 2.7 0.7 0.0 2.3 13.6 10.3 -36 -1.9 -7.4 44.4 36.5 69.7 0.35 56.4 51.7
Luka Mateski - 19 28.9 16.1 4.8 1.6 0.8 0.3 2.9 9.9 10.8 -47 -2.5 -11.1 44.7 18.2 89.7 0.4 60.8 46.8
Justin Asi - 1 18.0 14.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 10.0 14.0 -7 -0.5 -5.9 60.0 100.0 33.3 0.26 61.8 65.0
Brandon Claerbaut - 1 37.0 14.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 10.0 10.0 -35 -1.8 -11.7 50.0 33.3 100.0 1.96 64.3 60.0
Chang Hoth - 1 34.0 14.0 6.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 16.0 2 0.1 0.6 60.0 50.0 0 -1.4 70.0 70.0
Tyrel Creger - 1 29.0 14.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 19.0 -6.0 - - - 31.6 25.0 100.0 - 36.0 34.2
Josiah Palmer - 18 29.5 12.3 1.9 3.3 0.9 0.1 2.1 9.2 7.3 -14 -0.8 -4.7 42.2 40.0 87.8 -1.67 60.3 56.0
Owen Hardy - 1 25.0 11.0 7.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 16.0 -23 -1.2 -6.9 100.0 0 83.3 0.14 97.5 100.0
Bryce Moore - 1 34.0 10.0 5.0 6.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 11.0 12.0 58 3.1 18.6 27.3 66.7 100.0 -3.87 42.1 36.4
Fawaz Surakat - 20 25.2 7.4 7.8 1.1 0.8 2.0 1.6 4.6 13.0 -2 -0.1 -0.5 63.0 0.0 49.2 0.48 61.4 63.0
Joey Cabana - 1 29.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 1.0 -9 -0.5 -2.5 30.0 0.0 50.0 -0.3 32.2 30.0
Logan Zahour - 16 13.2 5.8 2.7 0.4 0.7 0.0 0.8 4.8 4.0 -18 -1.2 -18.3 38.2 34.8 86.4 -1.62 54.3 48.7
Jake Dunham - 8 10.9 5.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.1 0.4 2.9 3.9 3 0.4 13.0 65.2 50.0 83.3 0.02 78.0 76.1
Aidan Shore - 1 21.2 5.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 7.0 6.0 - - - 14.3 0 75.0 - 28.5 14.3
Ethan Ivan - 20 19.6 4.8 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.2 4.1 3.6 -57 -3.0 -20.2 41.5 39.0 75.0 -0.94 56.7 55.5
Braden McGlothlin - 20 23.6 4.4 3.0 2.4 1.4 0.1 1.1 4.5 5.6 -29 -1.5 -8.8 33.0 30.5 58.8 -2.5 44.7 42.9
Andrew Soenksen - 8 6.9 4.2 3.9 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.1 5.6 24 3.4 106.3 44.0 40.0 66.7 1.41 56.1 52.0
Justin Nelson - 1 11.8 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 1.0 36 1.7 8.3 33.3 0.0 0.0 2.58 29.1 33.3
Raphael Nagau Trouart - 13 15.8 3.9 3.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.9 3.2 3.8 -57 -4.8 -27.4 57.1 0.0 25.0 -3.98 53.9 57.1
Zach Behn - 17 13.1 3.5 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.4 3.2 3.5 5 0.3 3.0 33.3 27.3 93.3 0.84 48.7 41.7
Jack Rose - 14 13.8 3.4 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.6 3.8 2.1 -9 -0.6 -8.4 32.1 21.2 87.5 -0.49 42.5 38.7
Colin Hudson - 1 12.4 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 - - - 25.0 50.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
Gavin Johnson - 1 9.4 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 100.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Wesley Mboga - 1 20.9 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Jackson Wilhelmson - 1 10.1 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Hudson Kirby - 3 8.4 2.3 2.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.7 2.7 2.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 75.0 - 35.9 25.0
Carson Hollman - 1 4.9 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Mason Stoik - 1 16.8 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Collin Vick - 1 21.9 2.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Matas Castillo - 11 7.4 1.5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.0 9 0.8 21.5 25.0 0.0 83.3 -4.39 46.3 25.0
Alex Daniels - 4 3.8 1.5 0.2 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 2.5 4 1.3 150.0 0.0 0 54.5 -0.0 38.3 0.0
Liam Lubkeman - 2 9.8 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Sam Lootens - 5 6.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.0 -0.2 -6 -1.5 -225.0 20.0 0.0 0 -0.0 20.0 20.0
Dominic Croci - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Cade LaFavor - 1 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Carson Leuzinger - 1 10.8 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Domanyck Schwarzenberger - 1 12.1 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
AJ Uttech - 1 12.7 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 -3.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG