Wis.-Parkside
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1014 (#170) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1061 (#149) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 947 (#487) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.6 (#94) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.4 (#269) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.595 (#289) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.995 (#70) | NetEff +51.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.879 (#159) | AdjNet +17.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.883 (#161) | AdjNet +17.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.769 (#154) | AdjO 78.0 | AdjD 64.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.509 (#280) | AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 73.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.560 (#275) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.541 (#279) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 984 (#237) | RD 89 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Upper Iowa | L | 69 - 78 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Ill. Springfield | W | 95 - 77 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Bethel (MN) | W | 95 - 61 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Winona St. | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Northern Mich. | L | 78 - 82 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Michigan Tech | L | 54 - 69 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Mo.-St. Louis | L | 56 - 61 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Michigan Tech | L | 41 - 79 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | UIndy | W | 83 - 81 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Lewis | W | 73 - 54 |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | Roosevelt | W | 77 - 74 |
| 2026-01-05 | @ | Ferris St. | L | 72 - 74 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Lake Superior St. | W | 79 - 72 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Saginaw Valley | W | 87 - 81 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Wayne St. (MI) | L | 78 - 82 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Purdue Northwest | L | 61 - 82 |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | Edgewood | W | 95 - 75 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Grand Valley St. | L | 67 - 77 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Davenport | L | 54 - 68 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Saginaw Valley | L | 77 - 85 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Lake Superior St. | L | 65 - 106 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Roosevelt | L | 70 - 80 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Ferris St. | W | 82 - 63 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paxton Warden | - | 19 | 33.2 | 18.6 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 13.6 | 10.3 | -36 | -1.9 | -7.4 | 44.4 | 36.5 | 69.7 | 0.35 | 56.4 | 51.7 |
| Luka Mateski | - | 19 | 28.9 | 16.1 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 9.9 | 10.8 | -47 | -2.5 | -11.1 | 44.7 | 18.2 | 89.7 | 0.4 | 60.8 | 46.8 |
| Justin Asi | - | 1 | 18.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | -7 | -0.5 | -5.9 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 33.3 | 0.26 | 61.8 | 65.0 |
| Brandon Claerbaut | - | 1 | 37.0 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | -35 | -1.8 | -11.7 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 1.96 | 64.3 | 60.0 |
| Chang Hoth | - | 1 | 34.0 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.4 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Tyrel Creger | - | 1 | 29.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 19.0 | -6.0 | - | - | - | 31.6 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 36.0 | 34.2 |
| Josiah Palmer | - | 18 | 29.5 | 12.3 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 9.2 | 7.3 | -14 | -0.8 | -4.7 | 42.2 | 40.0 | 87.8 | -1.67 | 60.3 | 56.0 |
| Owen Hardy | - | 1 | 25.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | -23 | -1.2 | -6.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 83.3 | 0.14 | 97.5 | 100.0 |
| Bryce Moore | - | 1 | 34.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 58 | 3.1 | 18.6 | 27.3 | 66.7 | 100.0 | -3.87 | 42.1 | 36.4 |
| Fawaz Surakat | - | 20 | 25.2 | 7.4 | 7.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 4.6 | 13.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 49.2 | 0.48 | 61.4 | 63.0 |
| Joey Cabana | - | 1 | 29.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | -9 | -0.5 | -2.5 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.3 | 32.2 | 30.0 |
| Logan Zahour | - | 16 | 13.2 | 5.8 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 4.0 | -18 | -1.2 | -18.3 | 38.2 | 34.8 | 86.4 | -1.62 | 54.3 | 48.7 |
| Jake Dunham | - | 8 | 10.9 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 3 | 0.4 | 13.0 | 65.2 | 50.0 | 83.3 | 0.02 | 78.0 | 76.1 |
| Aidan Shore | - | 1 | 21.2 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 28.5 | 14.3 |
| Ethan Ivan | - | 20 | 19.6 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 4.1 | 3.6 | -57 | -3.0 | -20.2 | 41.5 | 39.0 | 75.0 | -0.94 | 56.7 | 55.5 |
| Braden McGlothlin | - | 20 | 23.6 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 5.6 | -29 | -1.5 | -8.8 | 33.0 | 30.5 | 58.8 | -2.5 | 44.7 | 42.9 |
| Andrew Soenksen | - | 8 | 6.9 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 5.6 | 24 | 3.4 | 106.3 | 44.0 | 40.0 | 66.7 | 1.41 | 56.1 | 52.0 |
| Justin Nelson | - | 1 | 11.8 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 36 | 1.7 | 8.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.58 | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| Raphael Nagau Trouart | - | 13 | 15.8 | 3.9 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 3.8 | -57 | -4.8 | -27.4 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -3.98 | 53.9 | 57.1 |
| Zach Behn | - | 17 | 13.1 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 5 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 33.3 | 27.3 | 93.3 | 0.84 | 48.7 | 41.7 |
| Jack Rose | - | 14 | 13.8 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.8 | 2.1 | -9 | -0.6 | -8.4 | 32.1 | 21.2 | 87.5 | -0.49 | 42.5 | 38.7 |
| Colin Hudson | - | 1 | 12.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Gavin Johnson | - | 1 | 9.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Wesley Mboga | - | 1 | 20.9 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jackson Wilhelmson | - | 1 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Hudson Kirby | - | 3 | 8.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 35.9 | 25.0 |
| Carson Hollman | - | 1 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Mason Stoik | - | 1 | 16.8 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Collin Vick | - | 1 | 21.9 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Matas Castillo | - | 11 | 7.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 9 | 0.8 | 21.5 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -4.39 | 46.3 | 25.0 |
| Alex Daniels | - | 4 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 4 | 1.3 | 150.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 54.5 | -0.0 | 38.3 | 0.0 |
| Liam Lubkeman | - | 2 | 9.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Sam Lootens | - | 5 | 6.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -0.2 | -6 | -1.5 | -225.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Dominic Croci | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Cade LaFavor | - | 1 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Carson Leuzinger | - | 1 | 10.8 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Domanyck Schwarzenberger | - | 1 | 12.1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| AJ Uttech | - | 1 | 12.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG