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Wis.-Oshkosh

Also known as: Wis.-Oshkosh
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1100 (#122) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1200 (#53) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More โ†’ 1107 (#85) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ +7.1 (#40) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +3.7 (#295) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.613 (#122) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.3 More โ†’ 0.698 (#50) AdjNet +7.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.1 More โ†’ 0.695 (#48) AdjNet +7.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.0 | AdjD 74.3 More โ†’ 0.627 (#43) AdjO 80.0 | AdjD 74.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 84.6 | AdjD 77.9 More โ†’ 0.647 (#153) AdjO 84.6 | AdjD 77.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.668 (#238) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.668 (#237) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 21 More โ†’ 1247 (#33) RD 100 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Saint John's (MN) - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 @ Maryville (TN) - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Ill. Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Carroll (WI) - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ Edgewood - Incomplete score
2025-11-30 @ Augustana (IL) W 84 - 77
2025-12-03 vs Benedictine (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Calvin - Incomplete score
2025-12-17 vs Ripon - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 vs St. Norbert - Incomplete score
2025-12-28 vs Lawrence - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ Wis.-Whitewater - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 vs Wis.-La Crosse - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Wis.-Stevens Point - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Wis.-Platteville - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs UW-River Falls - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 @ Wis.-Eau Claire - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Wis.-Stout - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Wis.-Whitewater - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Wis.-Platteville - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ UW-River Falls - Incomplete score
2026-02-11 vs Wis.-Eau Claire W 84 - 75
2026-02-14 @ Wis.-Stout W 68 - 67
2026-02-18 @ Wis.-La Crosse L 63 - 82
2026-02-21 vs Wis.-Stevens Point L 67 - 71
2026-02-24 @ Wis.-Platteville L 72 - 79

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Brandon Beck - 20 20.0 15.8 3.4 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.9 11.1 9.2 - - - - 50.2 38.1 76.9 - 63.5 60.4
Michael Metcalf-Grassman - 19 22.5 14.5 4.0 1.0 1.4 0.8 1.9 10.2 9.7 - - - - 47.9 25.5 63.3 - 55.9 51.5
Joey LaChapell - 25 22.3 12.2 2.2 3.4 0.8 0.1 1.8 7.6 9.4 - - - - 48.4 37.5 92.0 - 66.5 58.7
Carter Thomas - 25 21.8 11.0 3.0 1.1 0.8 0.3 1.0 6.9 8.3 - - - - 39.9 34.5 83.3 - 61.4 51.7
Will Murray - 21 15.4 6.8 2.1 1.0 0.9 0.1 0.8 5.1 4.9 - - - - 42.6 36.4 84.6 - 59.4 55.6
Jack Jorgenson - 21 17.2 6.0 3.3 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.8 5.0 5.6 - - - - 44.3 34.7 47.1 - 56.0 56.1
Jonah Rindfleisch - 25 16.7 4.8 4.4 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.9 3.2 7.5 - - - - 47.5 33.3 63.0 - 58.3 54.4
Oskar Kangas - 4 18.9 3.8 4.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.8 4.8 3.8 - - - - 26.3 21.4 50.0 - 36.1 34.2
Logan Rindfleisch - 24 12.8 3.7 2.5 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.5 3.3 3.8 - - - - 37.5 35.1 66.7 - 49.1 45.6
Nate Nazos - 25 20.0 3.5 2.9 2.0 1.3 0.1 0.8 3.0 6.0 - - - - 41.3 39.1 61.5 - 54.5 53.3
Vitorio Dante - 23 9.8 3.1 2.7 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 3.5 2.7 - - - - 31.2 18.4 57.7 - 39.4 35.6
Aiden Hawkinson - 4 15.1 3.0 2.0 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.5 4.0 1.8 - - - - 25.0 14.3 50.0 - 32.2 28.1
Reed Seckar - 8 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.1 - - - - 40.0 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Matt Imig - 12 6.3 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 1.5 -0.1 - - - - 22.2 0.0 50.0 - 23.8 22.2
Max Tutas - 10 3.6 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.6 - - - - 33.3 25.0 50.0 - 40.5 38.9
Riley Rindfleisch - 6 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.0 - - - - 66.7 100.0 0 - 83.3 83.3
Tristan Johanknecht - 13 6.6 0.8 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.9 1.8 - - - - 33.3 0.0 30.0 - 33.5 33.3
Nick Kraftzenk - 5 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 - - - - 50.0 100.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
AJ Ohrmundt - 1 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jay Dalton - 2 1.4 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -0.5 - - - - 0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG