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Winthrop

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Winthrop Eagles, Winthrop
Program History
Coach: Mark Prosser

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

94.0
PPG
98.0
Opp
-4.0
Margin
52.2%
FG%
42.9%
3P%
55.9%
FT%
36.5
RPG
17.5
APG
14.5
TO
76.5
Est. poss./game
76.8
Adj PPG
83.6
Adj Opp PPG
#234
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 948 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1047, returning -65, transfers -4, freshmen -30 More → 908 (#188) Preseason prior 948 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1047, returning -65, transfers -4, freshmen -30
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +224 elo More → 955 (#195) HCA +224 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +223 elo More → 963 (#229) HCA +223 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.7 More → -15.7 (#344) HCA +1.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.7 More → -15.6 (#345) HCA +1.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.428 (#171) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.8 More → 0.384 (#251) AdjNet -10.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.1 More → 0.381 (#252) AdjNet -11.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 83.6 More → 0.408 (#234) AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 83.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 83.7 More → 0.413 (#264) AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 83.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.339 (#278) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.340 (#282) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 195 | GP 2 More → 933 (#206) RD 195 | GP 2
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.475 (#159) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Queens University Royals L 98 - 103
2026-11-07 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks L 90 - 93
2026-11-10 @ Kennesaw State Owls - Preview
2026-11-14 vs Jackson State Tigers - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Keshawn Fisher Keshawn Fisher G 2 30.0 23.5 5.5 2.0 2.5 2.0 2.0 12.5 21.0 12 1 12.0 19.6 68.0 53.8 75.0 -0.13 82.4 82.0
Spence Sims Spence Sims G 2 34.5 22.0 2.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 2.5 13.5 11.0 -3 1 -3.0 -3.6 59.3 52.2 0.0 -1.37 80.2 81.5
Kyle Morgan Kyle Morgan G 2 25.0 14.0 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 10.0 7.5 -15 1 -15.0 -26.4 50.0 42.9 66.7 -0.64 65.7 65.0
George Natsvishvili George Natsvishvili F 2 21.5 11.0 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 9.0 10.0 18 1 18.0 57.7 55.6 0 66.7 1.15 56.9 55.6
Anthony Smith III Anthony Smith III G 2 32.0 9.5 5.0 4.5 0.0 1.0 3.0 7.5 9.5 4 1 4.0 4.7 46.7 20.0 57.1 -1.79 52.5 50.0
Seifeldin Hendawy Seifeldin Hendawy G 2 27.5 7.5 9.0 4.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 8.5 11.5 7 1 7.0 9.9 35.3 16.7 33.3 -0.6 38.2 38.2
Eesher Singh Sarai Eesher Singh Sarai G 2 9.5 4.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 4.0 0.5 4 1 4.0 12.8 50.0 0 0 -0.02 50.0 50.0
Tai Hamilton Tai Hamilton F 2 8.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 -28 1 -28.0 -69.1 0 0 50.0 -1.66 56.8 0
Kaleb Evans Kaleb Evans G 2 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.5 -1.5 -7 1 -7.0 -47.7 20.0 0.0 0 -0.25 20.0 20.0
Cam Christy Cam Christy G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Joel Cwik Joel Cwik F 2 5.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 -7 1 -7.0 -28.7 0.0 0 0 -0.06 0.0 0.0
Micah Davis Micah Davis G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Tee Harris Jr. Tee Harris Jr. F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Henry Harrison Henry Harrison G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Robert Knotts III Robert Knotts III G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Tyler Parrish Tyler Parrish G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

136 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Natsvishvili27% Sims30% Fisher100% Fisher33% Fisher40% Sims100% Fisher33% Fisher50% Sims60%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Natsvishvili40% Hendawy31% Fisher100% Morgan67% Hendawy33% Sims50% Morgan100% Smith38%
Misses: who misses most here

Spence SimsKeshawn FisherKyle MorganGeorge NatsvishviliAnthony Smith IIISeifeldin Hendawy

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 30-45 66.7 60 George Natsvishvili 27% (16 pts) Keshawn Fisher 27% (16 pts) George Natsvishvili 40% (6 misses) Anthony Smith III 13% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 10-23 43.5 20 Spence Sims 30% (6 pts) George Natsvishvili 20% (4 pts) Seifeldin Hendawy 31% (4 misses) Anthony Smith III 15% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 1-2 50.0 2 Keshawn Fisher 100% (2 pts) - Keshawn Fisher 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range center 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range right 3-3 100.0 6 Keshawn Fisher 33% (2 pts) Kyle Morgan 33% (2 pts) - -
Left corner 3 5-8 62.5 15 Keshawn Fisher 40% (6 pts) Spence Sims 40% (6 pts) Kyle Morgan 67% (2 misses) Kaleb Evans 33% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 1-7 14.3 3 Spence Sims 100% (3 pts) - Seifeldin Hendawy 33% (2 misses) Kaleb Evans 17% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 9-27 33.3 27 Keshawn Fisher 33% (9 pts) Kyle Morgan 22% (6 pts) Spence Sims 50% (9 misses) Keshawn Fisher 17% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-3 66.7 6 Keshawn Fisher 50% (3 pts) Spence Sims 50% (3 pts) Kyle Morgan 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 right 10-18 55.6 30 Spence Sims 60% (18 pts) Kyle Morgan 30% (9 pts) Anthony Smith III 38% (3 misses) Keshawn Fisher 25% (2 misses)