Winthrop
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
84.8
PPG
90.0
Opp
-5.2
Margin
45.7%
FG%
34.5%
3P%
65.3%
FT%
40.0
RPG
12.5
APG
16.3
TO
76.8
Est. poss./game
77.7
Adj PPG
83.9
Adj Opp PPG
#238
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 894 (#196) | Preseason prior 948 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1047, returning -65, transfers -4, freshmen -30 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 941 (#218) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 941 (#219) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.3 (#304) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.3 (#303) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.397 (#182) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.356 (#247) | AdjNet -12.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.354 (#246) | AdjNet -12.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.404 (#238) | AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 83.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.404 (#239) | AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 83.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.334 (#266) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.334 (#266) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 911 (#241) | RD 185 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.413 (#199) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Queens University Royals | L | 98 - 103 |
| 2026-11-07 | vs | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | L | 90 - 93 |
| 2026-11-10 | @ | Kennesaw State Owls | L | 79 - 88 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | Jackson State Tigers | L | 72 - 76 |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | Chattanooga Mocs | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | @ | Wofford Terriers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Keshawn Fisher
|
G | 4 | 29.8 | 19.8 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 10.5 | 17.0 | 7 | 2 | 3.5 | 5.1 | 61.9 | 45.5 | 68.0 | -0.04 | 74.5 | 73.8 |
Spence Sims
|
G | 4 | 33.0 | 16.2 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 11.2 | 6.8 | 4 | 2 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 48.9 | 47.4 | 60.0 | -0.71 | 68.9 | 68.9 |
Seifeldin Hendawy
|
G | 4 | 30.0 | 15.8 | 10.2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 11.2 | 16.2 | 8 | 2 | 4.0 | 5.3 | 44.4 | 20.0 | 64.5 | -0.04 | 53.7 | 47.8 |
George Natsvishvili
|
F | 4 | 22.8 | 12.2 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 9.0 | 10.5 | 18 | 2 | 9.0 | 21.6 | 47.2 | 0 | 60.0 | 1.39 | 52.1 | 47.2 |
Kyle Morgan
|
G | 4 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 7.2 | 3.5 | -27 | 2 | -13.5 | -26.1 | 37.9 | 30.0 | 80.0 | -1.15 | 51.3 | 48.3 |
Anthony Smith III
|
G | 4 | 30.5 | 6.0 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 | -5 | 2 | -2.5 | -3.0 | 42.9 | 12.5 | 62.5 | -1.86 | 48.9 | 45.2 |
Eesher Singh Sarai
|
G | 4 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 5 | 2 | 2.5 | 8.8 | 45.5 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.13 | 54.9 | 45.5 |
Tai Hamilton
|
F | 4 | 8.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.8 | -33 | 2 | -16.5 | -54.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.68 | 39.1 | 0.0 |
Joel Cwik
|
F | 4 | 8.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | -19 | 2 | -9.5 | -38.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.71 | 35.5 | 0.0 |
Kaleb Evans
|
G | 4 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | -0.8 | -18 | 2 | -9.0 | -47.0 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.67 | 25.4 | 14.3 |
Cam Christy
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Micah Davis
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Tee Harris Jr.
|
F | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Henry Harrison
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Robert Knotts III
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Tyler Parrish
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
243 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Keshawn FisherSpence SimsSeifeldin HendawyGeorge NatsvishviliKyle MorganAnthony Smith III
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 43-69 | 62.3 | 86 | George Natsvishvili 30% (26 pts) | Keshawn Fisher 21% (18 pts) | George Natsvishvili 42% (11 misses) | Seifeldin Hendawy 19% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 23-52 | 44.2 | 46 | Seifeldin Hendawy 30% (14 pts) | George Natsvishvili 17% (8 pts) | George Natsvishvili 24% (7 misses) | Seifeldin Hendawy 21% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-6 | 33.3 | 4 | Anthony Smith III 50% (2 pts) | Keshawn Fisher 50% (2 pts) | Keshawn Fisher 50% (2 misses) | George Natsvishvili 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Seifeldin Hendawy 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 5-5 | 100.0 | 10 | Keshawn Fisher 60% (6 pts) | Kyle Morgan 20% (2 pts) | - | - |
| Left corner 3 | 7-11 | 63.6 | 21 | Spence Sims 43% (9 pts) | Keshawn Fisher 29% (6 pts) | Kyle Morgan 50% (2 misses) | Kaleb Evans 25% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-11 | 9.1 | 3 | Spence Sims 100% (3 pts) | - | Seifeldin Hendawy 40% (4 misses) | Keshawn Fisher 20% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 14-49 | 28.6 | 42 | Spence Sims 36% (15 pts) | Keshawn Fisher 29% (12 pts) | Spence Sims 34% (12 misses) | Kyle Morgan 20% (7 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 5-10 | 50.0 | 15 | Keshawn Fisher 60% (9 pts) | Spence Sims 40% (6 pts) | Keshawn Fisher 40% (2 misses) | Spence Sims 40% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 11-29 | 37.9 | 33 | Spence Sims 64% (21 pts) | Kyle Morgan 27% (9 pts) | Anthony Smith III 28% (5 misses) | Spence Sims 28% (5 misses) |