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Winston-Salem

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Winston-Salem
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1266 (#12) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1284 (#15) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1225 (#9) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +10.5 (#80) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +12.6 (#174) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.383 (#409) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +19.2 More → 0.950 (#109) NetEff +19.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.1 More → 0.331 (#459) AdjNet -6.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.8 More → 0.337 (#458) AdjNet -5.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 63.5 More → 0.432 (#454) AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 63.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 50.4 More → 0.748 (#52) AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 50.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.818 (#85) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.826 (#69) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 107 | GP 21 More → 1361 (#8) RD 107 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-16 @ N.C. A&T L 43 - 74
2025-11-19 vs Converse W 101 - 67
2025-11-22 vs USC Aiken W 64 - 32
2025-11-25 @ Concord W 89 - 63
2025-11-29 @ Barton W 56 - 54
2025-12-01 @ Lees-McRae W 76 - 75
2025-12-11 vs Francis Marion W 63 - 53
2025-12-13 @ Bowie St. W 68 - 58
2025-12-15 @ Lincoln (PA) W 58 - 47
2025-12-20 vs Mount Olive W 86 - 50
2026-01-02 vs Virginia-Lynchburg W 100 - 49
2026-01-10 vs Elizabeth City St. W 67 - 38
2026-01-13 vs Virginia St. W 67 - 52
2026-01-17 @ Shaw W 64 - 54
2026-01-21 @ Claflin W 50 - 41
2026-01-27 @ Fayetteville St. L 57 - 72
2026-01-29 vs Johnson C. Smith W 59 - 41
2026-02-04 @ Virginia Union W 55 - 47
2026-02-07 @ Fayetteville St. W 50 - 36

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Maia Charles - 17 28.7 13.8 8.7 0.9 2.2 2.2 1.5 10.9 15.4 - - - 48.1 0 75.7 - 53.8 48.1
Ah'Kiya Pye - 5 21.2 11.8 3.4 1.6 3.0 0.0 3.2 9.2 7.4 - - - 50.0 44.4 69.2 - 57.0 54.3
Bruni Martinez - 1 31.0 11.0 7.0 0.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 11.0 72 4.8 37.1 25.0 0 83.3 0.98 37.6 25.0
Makayla Waleed - 18 24.4 10.7 5.2 2.0 2.4 0.3 2.2 12.0 6.4 - - - 34.7 25.4 44.4 - 40.0 38.9
Nevaeh Farmer - 17 25.8 9.0 3.9 3.1 2.7 0.2 3.4 9.7 5.7 - - - 30.9 30.0 82.5 - 41.9 36.4
Ashley Gonzalez - 1 17.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 36 3.0 17.8 66.7 0.0 71.4 0.75 74.0 66.7
Karimah Nix - 1 34.0 9.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 7.0 30 2.0 17.2 50.0 0 75.0 2.49 58.0 50.0
Jakaiya Mack - 18 25.0 7.3 4.3 0.9 2.7 0.0 2.2 7.2 5.8 - - - 40.8 15.2 58.8 - 45.2 42.7
Ah'Kiyah Pye - 13 23.6 7.2 3.6 1.8 1.6 0.0 4.0 7.8 2.5 - - - 39.2 37.0 33.3 - 43.8 44.1
Alana Biosse - 17 22.3 6.2 3.7 1.5 1.1 0.1 1.0 5.7 5.8 - - - 42.3 32.4 57.9 - 49.8 48.5
Hailey Blackwell - 1 34.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 9.0 39 2.6 19.2 33.3 0 75.0 2.22 52.5 33.3
De'aisjah Somerville - 1 15.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 0.0 -12 -0.9 -24.0 33.3 100.0 0 -0.18 41.7 41.7
Breonna Roaf - 18 19.3 4.5 3.0 2.3 2.5 0.1 1.2 4.6 6.6 - - - 33.7 21.2 90.0 - 44.1 38.0
Serenity Johnson - 1 21.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 -1.0 -20 -1.5 -37.2 33.3 0.0 0 -0.05 33.3 33.3
Amari Baldwin - 14 12.3 3.1 1.3 1.1 1.2 0.1 1.4 4.1 1.3 - - - 25.9 4.5 85.7 - 33.5 26.7
TaNiya Simms - 8 6.0 3.0 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 1.9 3.5 - - - 60.0 0 66.7 - 63.3 60.0
Taylor Simpson - 10 12.9 2.2 1.8 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.9 2.9 1.9 298 15.7 119.6 31.0 16.7 50.0 2.35 34.8 32.8
Kloe Thompson - 13 5.3 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5 3.1 -0.5 116 5.8 51.2 25.0 24.2 0.0 1.09 34.2 35.0
Maya Robinson - 1 24.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 -2.0 29 2.4 21.9 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.28 14.8 0.0
Ramsey Cureton - 1 19.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 12 0.7 8.9 0.0 0.0 100.0 1.94 34.7 0.0
Kierran Walker - 10 3.5 1.9 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.4 -65 -3.0 -22.3 30.0 30.0 50.0 -0.66 45.5 45.0
Chloe Williams - 6 13.7 1.8 1.8 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.8 2.5 1.5 -1 -0.1 -60.0 33.3 50.0 0.0 0.52 32.0 36.7
Jahmaria Miles - 14 6.1 1.1 1.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.4 - - - 29.4 0 75.0 - 39.0 29.4
Zion Duncan - 7 3.1 0.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.7 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Tanila Marshall - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.01 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG