Winston-Salem
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1020 (#160) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 920 (#411) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 861 (#563) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.5 (#284) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.7 (#421) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.583 (#293) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.997 (#53) | NetEff +47.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.414 (#453) | AdjNet -3.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.462 (#436) | AdjNet -1.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.466 (#443) | AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 71.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.369 (#481) | AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 75.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.309 (#461) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.310 (#466) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 833 (#433) | RD 103 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | East Stroudsburg | L | 72 - 105 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Shepherd | L | 52 - 63 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Virginia-Lynchburg | W | 94 - 77 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ | Wheeling | L | 66 - 86 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Barton | L | 64 - 77 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Mount Olive | W | 93 - 91 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Bowie St. | W | 71 - 60 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Lincoln (PA) | L | 57 - 59 |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Mid-Atlantic Christ. | W | 90 - 53 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Belmont Abbey | W | 76 - 68 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Virginia-Lynchburg | W | 112 - 76 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Bluefield St. | L | 75 - 84 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | W | 63 - 57 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Virginia St. | L | 71 - 77 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Shaw | L | 69 - 85 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Claflin | L | 65 - 74 |
| 2026-01-27 | @ | Fayetteville St. | L | 82 - 108 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | L | 64 - 76 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Virginia Union | L | 49 - 76 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Fayetteville St. | L | 74 - 84 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyre Boykin | - | 20 | 31.3 | 18.1 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 13.8 | 8.3 | 31 | 1.6 | 9.5 | 44.4 | 35.6 | 77.7 | -0.44 | 56.3 | 51.1 |
| Khyelle Ingram | - | 20 | 24.5 | 10.3 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 8.0 | 7.5 | 16 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 49.7 | 20.0 | 78.9 | -0.15 | 56.2 | 50.9 |
| Abou Camara | - | 20 | 28.0 | 9.4 | 11.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 6.8 | 14.3 | 35 | 1.8 | 12.1 | 63.2 | 0.0 | 32.1 | 4.04 | 59.3 | 63.2 |
| Ethan English | - | 15 | 17.9 | 8.9 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 5.6 | 7.7 | 39 | 2.6 | 17.7 | 53.6 | 26.7 | 83.0 | 1.11 | 63.5 | 56.0 |
| Masaun Moore-Bryant | - | 18 | 17.4 | 7.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 6.8 | 4.1 | 40 | 2.1 | 27.9 | 36.1 | 30.0 | 79.6 | 0.6 | 49.1 | 41.0 |
| Isaiah Staton-Ray | - | 13 | 21.7 | 6.9 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 6.6 | 18 | 1.5 | 87.6 | 48.8 | 18.2 | 76.9 | 2.77 | 52.5 | 50.0 |
| Lance Gill | - | 20 | 16.2 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 5.5 | 1.6 | -45 | -2.2 | -14.7 | 39.1 | 31.0 | 87.5 | -3.98 | 48.9 | 47.3 |
| Jaiden Thompson | - | 18 | 24.4 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 4.9 | 3.3 | -16 | -0.9 | -8.0 | 28.4 | 19.4 | 59.1 | 0.18 | 35.3 | 31.8 |
| Demetri Patterson | - | 20 | 13.4 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 17 | 0.9 | 15.5 | 39.0 | 40.9 | 81.8 | -0.34 | 50.1 | 46.6 |
| Isaiah Sutherland | - | 13 | 8.8 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 2.4 | -18 | -1.5 | -57.1 | 48.6 | 33.3 | 71.4 | -1.23 | 53.8 | 51.4 |
| Arrington Kee | - | 13 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 33 | 2.5 | 138.2 | 27.3 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.2 | 34.1 | 34.1 |
| Bryson Cowan | - | 14 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 38 | 2.7 | 600.0 | 44.4 | 0 | 0 | 0.47 | 44.4 | 44.4 |
| Samuel Newkirk | - | 12 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 33 | 3.0 | 665.5 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.36 | 64.3 | 60.0 |
| CJ Alston | - | 1 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG