Wingate
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1095 (#90) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1117 (#76) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1058 (#121) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.8 (#106) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.2 (#370) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.684 (#294) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.825 (#170) | NetEff +11.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.790 (#277) | AdjNet +11.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.796 (#280) | AdjNet +11.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.665 (#280) | AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 61.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.476 (#420) | AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 62.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.551 (#310) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.548 (#305) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1098 (#115) | RD 95 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | UNC Pembroke | W | 70 - 58 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Francis Marion | L | 56 - 62 |
| 2025-11-17 | vs | Mount Olive | W | 77 - 46 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Hawaii Hilo | W | 64 - 56 |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Saginaw Valley | W | 74 - 55 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | UVA Wise | L | 54 - 69 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Tusculum | W | 77 - 50 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | Lincoln Memorial | L | 65 - 69 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Lenoir-Rhyne | L | 64 - 74 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Carson-Newman | L | 56 - 65 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Belmont Abbey | W | 86 - 51 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Anderson (SC) | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Mars Hill | W | 84 - 51 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Newberry | W | 59 - 57 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Emory & Henry | W | 76 - 69 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Coker | L | 52 - 68 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | UVA Wise | W | 66 - 65 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Anderson (SC) | W | 69 - 68 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Tusculum | W | 68 - 60 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Lenoir-Rhyne | L | 69 - 98 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Lincoln Memorial | L | 52 - 64 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyleigh Bacon | - | 21 | 28.2 | 13.0 | 7.4 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 8.0 | 13.8 | 137 | 6.5 | 20.8 | 52.1 | 40.0 | 75.6 | 3.83 | 61.2 | 53.3 |
| Laura Montiel | - | 21 | 26.3 | 9.7 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 7.7 | 8.1 | 85 | 4.0 | 15.4 | 50.3 | 24.0 | 87.5 | 1.84 | 56.8 | 52.2 |
| Laney Beale | - | 21 | 29.3 | 7.8 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 7.8 | 6.9 | 93 | 4.4 | 13.8 | 39.3 | 31.4 | 82.6 | -1.4 | 47.1 | 44.2 |
| Maggie Shorma | - | 21 | 20.9 | 7.8 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 113 | 5.4 | 22.5 | 40.1 | 28.1 | 59.1 | 0.94 | 46.1 | 44.9 |
| Alexandra Merceron | - | 21 | 16.7 | 6.5 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 6.3 | 2.8 | -9 | -0.4 | -2.7 | 42.4 | 33.3 | 90.5 | -0.78 | 48.5 | 44.7 |
| Kylie Chavis | - | 17 | 22.4 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 5.6 | 88 | 5.2 | 32.2 | 43.2 | 29.4 | 81.8 | 2.5 | 54.0 | 49.4 |
| Chinya Isaac | - | 21 | 14.3 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 79 | 3.8 | 19.0 | 31.7 | 38.9 | 88.5 | 2.9 | 48.0 | 42.1 |
| Bree Hughes | - | 21 | 12.0 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 24 | 1.1 | 11.7 | 38.0 | 37.5 | 52.4 | 0.54 | 46.1 | 44.4 |
| Anasia Harvey | - | 21 | 11.7 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 3.3 | -5 | -0.2 | -2.8 | 41.8 | 0 | 57.7 | -1.48 | 45.3 | 41.8 |
| Bethel Ekperigha | - | 18 | 12.4 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 3.3 | 2.8 | -6 | -0.3 | -2.1 | 40.0 | 18.2 | 64.7 | -0.06 | 45.2 | 41.7 |
| Brayla Harris | - | 18 | 8.6 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 15.4 | 83.3 | -2.28 | 27.0 | 22.5 |
| Michela Jones | - | 11 | 5.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 21 | 1.9 | 38.0 | 35.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.73 | 39.1 | 35.7 |
| Kyndall Shivers | - | 6 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 8 | 1.3 | 91.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | -0.28 | 59.5 | 60.0 |
| Addie Long | - | 6 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.6 | 22.5 | 37.5 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.19 | 41.5 | 37.5 |
| Olivia Frankel | - | 3 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG