Wingate
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1048 (#129) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1081 (#113) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1037 (#148) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +8.0 (#124) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +6.7 (#215) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.463 (#191) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.852 (#204) | NetEff +15.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.656 (#164) | AdjNet +5.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.696 (#151) | AdjNet +7.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.631 (#147) | AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 75.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.569 (#182) | AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 71.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.642 (#199) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.630 (#202) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1106 (#110) | RD 94 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Barton | W | 94 - 92 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Mount Olive | W | 99 - 90 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Lee | L | 81 - 83 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | West Virginia St. | W | 85 - 70 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Belmont Abbey | W | 100 - 59 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | UVA Wise | L | 73 - 82 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Tusculum | W | 85 - 74 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | Lincoln Memorial | L | 62 - 97 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Lenoir-Rhyne | L | 75 - 89 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Carson-Newman | W | 79 - 70 |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Francis Marion | W | 85 - 73 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Anderson (SC) | L | 60 - 73 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Catawba | L | 69 - 81 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Mars Hill | L | 64 - 70 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Newberry | L | 70 - 77 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Emory & Henry | W | 83 - 79 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Coker | W | 87 - 67 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | UVA Wise | L | 70 - 81 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Anderson (SC) | L | 60 - 65 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Tusculum | W | 80 - 66 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Lenoir-Rhyne | L | 59 - 92 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Lincoln Memorial | W | 79 - 72 |
| 2026-02-11 | @ | Catawba | L | 56 - 72 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Carson-Newman | L | 75 - 86 |
| 2026-02-18 | vs | Newberry | W | 68 - 66 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Emory & Henry | W | 79 - 58 |
| 2026-02-25 | @ | Coker | W | 81 - 58 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ | Mars Hill | W | 72 - 70 |
| 2026-03-04 | @ | Anderson (SC) | L | 67 - 69 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Godley | - | 28 | 26.0 | 12.2 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 9.4 | 7.9 | 54 | 24 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 47.3 | 36.3 | 77.9 | 0.7 | 57.6 | 53.6 |
| Kendall Campbell | - | 28 | 26.0 | 12.0 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 10.3 | 90 | 24 | 3.8 | 6.4 | 55.5 | 34.5 | 78.3 | 3.57 | 64.2 | 57.9 |
| Isaiah Vick | - | 25 | 30.5 | 11.6 | 6.9 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 8.2 | 11.9 | 82 | 24 | 3.4 | 4.7 | 52.9 | 40.4 | 72.1 | 2.35 | 61.5 | 58.5 |
| Corbin Pack | - | 25 | 25.4 | 11.2 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 8.9 | 5.2 | -14 | 22 | -0.6 | -1.1 | 45.9 | 43.0 | 93.3 | -2.36 | 61.0 | 59.7 |
| Jaden Lingo | - | 7 | 15.7 | 10.9 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 8.0 | - | - | - | - | 59.0 | 60.0 | 85.7 | 3.33 | 84.1 | 82.1 |
| Jordan Miller | - | 27 | 32.2 | 10.1 | 4.4 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 8.3 | 13.0 | 57 | 23 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 35.7 | 34.0 | 77.0 | 1.88 | 50.9 | 43.8 |
| Riley Bergin | - | 1 | 24.7 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 65.4 | 66.7 |
| Derek Bradley | - | 28 | 19.0 | 6.4 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 5.4 | 4.3 | -22 | 24 | -0.9 | -2.1 | 38.4 | 27.1 | 72.1 | -1.97 | 50.3 | 44.7 |
| Stephen Quinn | - | 24 | 11.6 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 57 | 21 | 2.7 | 9.5 | 36.8 | 38.6 | 80.0 | 2.69 | 54.5 | 53.7 |
| Jayden Street | - | 25 | 10.3 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 2.7 | -33 | 21 | -1.6 | -7.1 | 43.8 | 16.7 | 54.5 | -2.83 | 47.5 | 45.3 |
| Darius Carr | - | 19 | 8.4 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2.7 | -26 | 16 | -1.6 | -8.2 | 39.3 | 0.0 | 74.2 | -2.8 | 54.0 | 39.3 |
| Jacori Owens | - | 19 | 9.6 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 2.6 | -33 | 18 | -1.8 | -8.1 | 46.9 | 0 | 60.0 | -2.76 | 51.5 | 46.9 |
| Nas Berry | - | 23 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.9 | -12 | 21 | -0.6 | -3.5 | 32.1 | 18.2 | 57.9 | -2.69 | 42.6 | 35.7 |
| Gabe Tooper | - | 15 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.2 | -8 | 11 | -0.7 | -9.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -2.21 | 55.3 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG