Wilson
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 955 (#325) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 908 (#459) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1038 (#223) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -21.6 (#364) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -20.5 (#611) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.311 (#534) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.511 (#357) | NetEff +0.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.008 (#671) | AdjNet -41.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.006 (#671) | AdjNet -43.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.079 (#674) | AdjO 55.2 | AdjD 82.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.309 (#595) | AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 69.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.261 (#558) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.272 (#553) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 983 (#336) | RD 98 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Mary Baldwin | W | 86 - 61 |
| 2025-11-11 | @ | Bryn Mawr | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2025-11-13 | vs | Trinity Washington | W | 72 - 27 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Shenandoah | L | 57 - 75 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Valley Forge | W | 81 - 46 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | East. Mennonite | W | 87 - 78 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Haverford | L | 45 - 62 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Mount Aloysius | L | 58 - 79 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Penn St. Harrisburg | W | 64 - 47 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Penn College | L | 49 - 74 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | St. Mary's (MD) | L | 50 - 109 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Cairn | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Notre Dame (MD) | L | 58 - 75 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Gallaudet | W | 62 - 53 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Penn St. Brandywine | W | 75 - 58 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Penn St.-Berks | W | 67 - 46 |
| 2026-02-02 | vs | Penn St.-Schuylkill | W | 83 - 36 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Lancaster Bible | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Keystone | W | 75 - 43 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Laubach | - | 18 | 30.4 | 15.3 | 6.8 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 12.8 | 9.6 | 116 | 6.1 | 28.6 | 43.0 | 32.0 | 66.3 | 2.15 | 50.8 | 46.5 |
| Sunita Schmidjorg | - | 1 | 35.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | -58 | -8.3 | -49.9 | 62.5 | 40.0 | 100.0 | -0.13 | 78.8 | 75.0 |
| Jewels Torres | - | 18 | 34.1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 4.2 | 9.5 | 7.9 | 179 | 9.4 | 40.3 | 39.2 | 27.3 | 74.6 | 1.38 | 51.7 | 40.9 |
| Natalie Greene | - | 1 | 22.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 10.0 | -90 | -9.0 | -88.5 | 41.7 | 0 | 42.9 | 0.68 | 43.1 | 41.7 |
| Seanna Baird | - | 1 | 38.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | -197 | -14.1 | -148.1 | 41.7 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.45 | 45.8 | 45.8 |
| Chelcie Forrester | - | 18 | 26.8 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 7.4 | 11.7 | 129 | 6.8 | 37.7 | 51.5 | 0 | 66.1 | -0.08 | 55.3 | 51.5 |
| Lae Black | - | 16 | 23.3 | 8.9 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 9.6 | 4.9 | 42 | 2.8 | 25.0 | 27.9 | 24.5 | 62.9 | 0.57 | 38.7 | 32.1 |
| Kailee Soto | - | 8 | 29.9 | 7.9 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 9.8 | 1.8 | 35 | 3.5 | 22.2 | 28.2 | 26.8 | 66.7 | 1.92 | 39.1 | 37.8 |
| M. Caldwell-Degnon | - | 1 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 137 | 7.6 | 37.9 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 2.14 | 51.8 | 50.0 |
| Mackenzie Caldwell-Degnon | - | 16 | 23.1 | 6.8 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 6.8 | 6.6 | 137 | 7.6 | 37.9 | 38.0 | 31.4 | 64.7 | 2.14 | 47.2 | 45.4 |
| Chloe Irving | - | 18 | 22.1 | 6.3 | 6.9 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 6.5 | 7.6 | 141 | 7.4 | 44.7 | 33.3 | 22.6 | 58.0 | 1.46 | 41.0 | 36.3 |
| Mackenzie Caldwell-D | - | 1 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 66.5 | 50.0 |
| Mackenzie Schirg | - | 1 | 31.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | -137 | -9.1 | -125.9 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -2.95 | 17.7 | 10.0 |
| Kayla DeBrow | - | 1 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 12 | 0.7 | 10.5 | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Evangeline Diaz | - | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -70 | -3.9 | -98.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -2.94 | 69.4 | 75.0 |
| Sophia Wascher | - | 1 | 31.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | -79 | -6.1 | -68.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.2 | 22.6 | 0.0 |
| Kayla Shepard | - | 15 | 9.0 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 14 | 0.8 | 13.5 | 32.4 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.81 | 35.6 | 32.4 |
| Isabelle Campbell | - | 16 | 7.2 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 29 | 1.6 | 27.6 | 40.6 | 0 | 33.3 | 0.69 | 40.2 | 40.6 |
| Becca Cordell | - | 16 | 13.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 37 | 2.5 | 21.5 | 27.8 | 8.3 | 50.0 | -2.11 | 32.7 | 29.2 |
| Aniya Gonzalez | - | 13 | 7.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 55 | 3.9 | 99.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.32 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Kate Aquino Uribe | - | 1 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -107 | -9.7 | -125.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -3.48 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG